A sobrevida global mediana (todas as idades) para pacientes com MFP foi de 4.0 anos, com base em dados de registro de 3689 pacientes diagnosticados entre 2001 e 2015 (acompanhamento mediano de 5.8 anos). Durante o período do estudo, 122 (3.3%) pacientes com MFP evoluíram para leucemia mieloide aguda (LMA); o tempo mediano para a transformação para LMA foi de 2.3 anos.[86]Smith CJ, Thomas JW, Ruan G, et al. A population-based study of outcomes in polycythemia vera, essential thrombocythemia, and primary myelofibrosis in the United States from 2001 to 2015: comparison with data from a Mayo Clinic single institutional series. Am J Hematol. 2021 Dec 1;96(12):E464-8.
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/ajh.26377
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34661932?tool=bestpractice.com
A sobrevida global mediana (estratificada por idade) foi estimada em:[87]Szuber N, Vallapureddy RR, Penna D, et al. Myeloproliferative neoplasms in the young: Mayo Clinic experience with 361 patients age 40 years or younger. Am J Hematol. 2018 Dec;93(12):1474-84.
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/ajh.25270
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30157297?tool=bestpractice.com
Fatores prognósticos adversos incluem idade de início (>64 anos), anemia (Hb <100 g/L [<10 g/dL]), sintomas constitucionais, anormalidades na contagem de leucócitos (<4 × 10⁹/L ou >12 × 10⁹ /L [<4000/microlitro ou >12,000/microlitro]), trombocitopenia, blastos circulantes (>1%) e certas anormalidades citogenéticas (-5/del5q, -7/del7q, trissomia do 8, 12p-).[11]Passamonti F, Cervantes F, Vannucchi AM, et al. A dynamic prognostic model to predict survival in primary myelofibrosis: a study by the IWG-MRT (International Working Group for Myeloproliferative Neoplasms Research and Treatment). Blood. 2010 Mar 4;115(9):1703-8.
http://bloodjournal.hematologylibrary.org/cgi/content/full/115/9/1703
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20008785?tool=bestpractice.com
[43]Cervantes F, Dupriez B, Pereira A, et al. New prognostic scoring system for primary myelofibrosis based on a study of the International Working Group for Myelofibrosis Research and Treatment. Blood. 2009 Mar 26;113(13):2895-901.
http://bloodjournal.hematologylibrary.org/content/113/13/2895.full.pdf+html
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18988864?tool=bestpractice.com
Mutações em CALR estão associadas à melhora da sobrevida global em comparação com as mutações JAK2 V617F ou MPL W515.[19]Rumi E, Pietra D, Pascutto C, et al. Clinical effect of driver mutations of JAK2, CALR, or MPL in primary myelofibrosis. Blood. 2014 Aug 14;124(7):1062-9.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4133481
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24986690?tool=bestpractice.com
Mutações em CALR do tipo 1 (deleção de 52 pb) são mais comuns e têm um impacto mais favorável no prognóstico do que mutações em CALR do tipo 2 (inserção de 5 pb) na MFP.[20]Tefferi A, Nicolosi M, Mudireddy M, et al. Driver mutations and prognosis in primary myelofibrosis: Mayo-Careggi MPN alliance study of 1,095 patients. Am J Hematol. 2018 Mar;93(3):348-55.
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/ajh.24978
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29164670?tool=bestpractice.com
[21]Tefferi A, Lasho TL, Finke C, et al. Type 1 vs type 2 calreticulin mutations in primary myelofibrosis: differences in phenotype and prognostic impact. Leukemia. 2014 Jul;28(7):1568-70.
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/ajh.24978
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24569778?tool=bestpractice.com
O estado de mutação triplo-negativo (negativo para mutações em JAK2, CALR ou MPL) está associado a um prognóstico mais desfavorável em pacientes com MFP.[19]Rumi E, Pietra D, Pascutto C, et al. Clinical effect of driver mutations of JAK2, CALR, or MPL in primary myelofibrosis. Blood. 2014 Aug 14;124(7):1062-9.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4133481
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24986690?tool=bestpractice.com
[26]National Comprehensive Cancer Network. NCCN clinical practice guidelines in oncology: myeloproliferative neoplasms [internet publication].
https://www.nccn.org/guidelines/category_1
As mutações ASXL1, EZH2, SRSF2, TP53, IDH1, IDH2 e U2AF1 são consideradas mutações de alto risco molecular, associadas a menor sobrevida global e livre de leucemia.[26]National Comprehensive Cancer Network. NCCN clinical practice guidelines in oncology: myeloproliferative neoplasms [internet publication].
https://www.nccn.org/guidelines/category_1
[27]Rumi E, Trotti C, Vanni D, et al. The genetic basis of primary myelofibrosis and its clinical relevance. Int J Mol Sci. 2020 Nov 24;21(23):8885.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7727658
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33255170?tool=bestpractice.com