Prognosis depends primarily on the patient's risk classification.
Low-risk disease
Patients with low-risk disease have an excellent prognosis. Estimated 5-year overall survival in this population is 98%; 5-year event-free survival is 91%.[58]Irwin MS, Naranjo A, Zhang FF, et al. Revised neuroblastoma risk classification system: a report from the Children's Oncology Group. J Clin Oncol. 2021 Oct 10;39(29):3229-41.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34319759?tool=bestpractice.com
Intermediate-risk disease
With a combination of surgery and chemotherapy, 5-year overall-survival and event-free survival is approximately 96% and 85%, respectively, in patients with intermediate-risk disease.[58]Irwin MS, Naranjo A, Zhang FF, et al. Revised neuroblastoma risk classification system: a report from the Children's Oncology Group. J Clin Oncol. 2021 Oct 10;39(29):3229-41.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34319759?tool=bestpractice.com
High-risk disease
Despite intense multimodal therapy, patients with high-risk disease have a poor prognosis with an event-free survival of ≤50%.[58]Irwin MS, Naranjo A, Zhang FF, et al. Revised neuroblastoma risk classification system: a report from the Children's Oncology Group. J Clin Oncol. 2021 Oct 10;39(29):3229-41.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34319759?tool=bestpractice.com
Relapsed and refractory disease
Survival rates for those with relapsed/refractory high-risk neuroblastoma remain poor. Meta-analysis of European phase 2 clinical trial data reported median overall survival of 16 months among children and adolescents with relapsed/refractory neuroblastoma.[115]Moreno L, Rubie H, Varo A, et al. Outcome of children with relapsed or refractory neuroblastoma: a meta-analysis of ITCC/SIOPEN European phase II clinical trials. Pediatr Blood Cancer. 2017 Jan;64(1):25-31.
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/pbc.26192
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27555472?tool=bestpractice.com
One-year and 4-year overall survival rates were 57% and 20%, respectively, in a large cohort of patients with recurrent/refractory neuroblastoma from Children's Oncology Group (COG) modern-era early-phase trials.[116]London WB, Bagatell R, Weigel BJ, et al. Historical time to disease progression and progression-free survival in patients with recurrent/refractory neuroblastoma treated in the modern era on Children's Oncology Group early-phase trials. Cancer. 2017 Dec 15;123(24):4914-23.
https://acsjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/cncr.30934
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28885700?tool=bestpractice.com
Median time from diagnosis to first disease recurrence/progression was 18.7 months.
Long-term sequelae
Patients with low-risk disease who are observed or treated with surgery have minimal long-term sequelae. Because patients with intermediate- and high-risk disease are treated with chemotherapy and radiation in addition to surgery, survivors are at risk of experiencing treatment-related adverse effects (e.g., ototoxicity, cardiotoxicity, endocrine complications, osteoporosis, secondary malignancies, and future infertility), which may have long-term implications.[61]Sokol E, Desai AV, Applebaum MA, et al. Age, Diagnostic Category, Tumor Grade, and Mitosis-Karyorrhexis Index Are Independently Prognostic in Neuroblastoma: An INRG Project. J Clin Oncol. 2020 Jun 10;38(17):1906-18.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7280049
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32315273?tool=bestpractice.com
[117]Haghiri S, Fayech C, Mansouri I, et al. Long-term follow-up of high-risk neuroblastoma survivors treated with high-dose chemotherapy and stem cell transplantation rescue. Bone Marrow Transplant. 2021 Aug;56(8):1984-97.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33824435?tool=bestpractice.com