Morbidity
Generally, with prompt and adequate antimicrobial and supportive therapy, the outcome after acute bacterial meningitis is excellent. However, prognosis depends on multiple factors such as age, presence of comorbidity, causative pathogen, and severity at presentation.
In adults with bacterial meningitis, risk factors associated with a poor prognosis include advanced age, presence of osteitis or sinusitis, low Glasgow Coma Scale score on admission (i.e., low level of consciousness), tachycardia, absence of rash, thrombocytopenia, elevated erythrocyte sedimentation rate, low cerebrospinal fluid cell count, and positive blood culture.[27]van de Beek D, de Gans J, Spanjaard L, et al. Clinical features and prognostic factors in adults with bacterial meningitis. N Engl J Med. 2004 Oct 28;351(18):1849-59.
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa040845
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/15509818?tool=bestpractice.com
Up to one third of adults who have had bacterial meningitis have cognitive impairment.[99]Hoogman M, van de Beek D, Weisfelt D, et al. Cognitive outcome in adults after bacterial meningitis. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry. 2007 Oct;78(10):1092-6.
https://jnnp.bmj.com/content/78/10/1092.full
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/17353256?tool=bestpractice.com
About 10% to 20% of children who survive bacterial meningitis develop severe sequelae such as sensorineural hearing loss, motor problems, seizures, and significant cognitive impairment.[100]Baraff LJ, Lee SI, Schriger DL. Outcomes of bacterial meningitis in children: a meta-analysis. Pediatr Infect Dis J. 1993 May;12(5):389-94.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/8327300?tool=bestpractice.com
[101]Grimwood K, Anderson VA, Bond L, et al. Adverse outcomes of bacterial meningitis in school-age survivors. Pediatrics. 1995 May;95(5):646-56.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/7536915?tool=bestpractice.com
[102]Koomen I, Grobbee DE, Roord JJ, et al. Hearing loss at school age in survivors of bacterial meningitis: assessment, incidence, and prediction. Pediatrics. 2003 Nov;112(5):1049-53.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/14595044?tool=bestpractice.com
From 20% to 30% of children have more subtle adverse outcomes such as cognitive, academic, and behavioral problems.[103]Koomen I, Grobbee DE, Roord JJ, et al. Prediction of academic and behavioural limitations in school-age survivors of bacterial meningitis. Acta Paediatr. 2004 Oct;93(10):1378-85.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/15499961?tool=bestpractice.com
Mortality
The case-fatality rates for bacterial meningitis are 4% to 10% in the pediatric population and 25% in adults.[39]Chávez-Bueno S, McCracken GH Jr. Bacterial meningitis in children. Pediatr Clin North Am. 2005 Jun;52(3):795-810.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/15925663?tool=bestpractice.com
[104]Durand ML, Calderwood SB, Weber DJ, et al. Acute bacterial meningitis in adults: a review of 493 episodes. N Engl J Med. 1993 Jan 7;328(1):21-8.
https://www.nejm.org/doi/10.1056/NEJM199301073280104
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/8416268?tool=bestpractice.com
The case-fatality rates are 3% to 7% for Haemophilus influenzae and Streptococcus agalactiae; 20% to 25% for Streptococcus pneumoniae; and 30% to 40% for Listeria monocytogenes.[17]Schuchat A, Robinson K, Wenger JD, et al; Active Surveillance Team. Bacterial meningitis in the United States in 1995. N Engl J Med. 1997 Oct 2;337(14):970-6.
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJM199710023371404
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/9395430?tool=bestpractice.com
[105]Geiseler PJ, Nelson KE, Levin S, et al. Community-acquired purulent meningitis: a review of 1,316 cases during the antibiotic era, 1954-1976. Rev Infect Dis. 1980 Sep-Oct;2(5):725-45.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/6763303?tool=bestpractice.com
Fatality rates are high among patients at the extremes of age (i.e., neonates and older people).[9]Sáez-Llorens X, McCracken GH Jr. Bacterial meningitis in children. Lancet. 2003 Jun 21;361(9375):2139-48.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/12826449?tool=bestpractice.com
The overall mortality of meningococcal infections is 10% to 15%.[106]Sharip A, Sorvillo F, Redelings MD, et al. Population-based analysis of meningococcal disease mortality in the United States: 1990-2002. Pediatr Infect Dis J. 2006 Mar;25(3):191-4.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16511378?tool=bestpractice.com
Patients with meningitis have a lower mortality (5%) than those with meningococcal sepsis (5% to 40%). Most deaths occur in the first 24 hours of illness. Mortality is higher in adolescents than in younger children, and higher during outbreaks than in sporadic disease.[107]Brooks R, Woods CW, Benjamin DK Jr, et al. Increased case-fatality rate associated with outbreaks of Neisseria meningitidis infection, compared with sporadic meningococcal disease, in the United States, 1994-2002. Clin Infect Dis. 2006 Jul 1;43(1):49-54.
https://academic.oup.com/cid/article/43/1/49/309696
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16758417?tool=bestpractice.com
Delayed antibiotic administration increases mortality.[38]van de Beek D, Cabellos C, Dzupova O, et al. ESCMID guideline: diagnosis and treatment of acute bacterial meningitis. Clin Microbiol Infect. 2016 May;22(suppl 3):S37-62.
https://www.clinicalmicrobiologyandinfection.com/article/S1198-743X(16)00020-3/fulltext
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27062097?tool=bestpractice.com
[66]Proulx N, Fréchette D, Toye B, et al. Delays in the administration of antibiotics are associated with mortality from adult acute bacterial meningitis. QJM. 2005 Apr;98(4):291-8.
https://academic.oup.com/qjmed/article/98/4/291/1558829
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/15760921?tool=bestpractice.com
[67]Zasowski EJ, Bassetti M, Blasi F, et al. A systematic review of the effect of delayed appropriate antibiotic treatment on the outcomes of patients with severe bacterial infections. Chest. 2020 Sep;158(3):929-38.
https://journal.chestnet.org/article/S0012-3692(20)31497-5/fulltext
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32446623?tool=bestpractice.com