Prognosis with timely diagnosis and appropriate antibiotic treatment is excellent.
Rickettsial infections can be due to rickettsiae of low virulence (e.g., Rickettsia felis, causing cat-flea rickettsiosis; R africae, causing African tick-bite fever), where there are rarely any severe complications during the acute illness. However, infection with rickettsiae of inherently high virulence (e.g., Orientia tsutsugamushi, causing scrub typhus; R rickettsii, causing Rocky Mountain spotted fever; R prowazekii, causing epidemic louse-borne typhus) can cause a range of serious complications during the acute illness. These include infarction of digits, leading to the need for amputation; severe pneumonia; life-threatening meningo-encephalitis and other neurological conditions; cardiac abnormalities (myocarditis or pericarditis); renal impairment; hearing loss; necrotic skin rash; and multi-organ dysfunction. However, if the patient survives the acute rickettsial infection, as most do, there are usually no long-term complications, although some patients have described a long period of lethargy after recovery.[38]Unsworth N, Graves S, Nguyen C, et al. Markers of exposure to spotted fever rickettsiae in patients with chronic illness, including fatigue, in two Australian populations. QJM. 2008 Apr;101(4):269-74.
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The course of illness is typically mild in African tick-bite fever, while Mediterranean spotted fever can lead to severe or fatal infection, with a case-fatality of 21% reported among hospitalised adults in Portugal.[22]Biggs HM, Behravesh CB, Bradley KK, et al. Diagnosis and management of tickborne rickettsial diseases: Rocky Mountain spotted fever and other spotted fever group rickettsioses, ehrlichioses, and anaplasmosis - United States. MMWR Recomm Rep. 2016 May 13;65(2):1-44.
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/65/rr/rr6502a1.htm
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[39]Sousa Rd, França A, Dória Nòbrega S, et al. Host- and microbe-related risk factors for and pathophysiology of fatal Rickettsia conorii infection in Portuguese patients. J Infect Dis. 2008 Aug 15;198(4):576-85.
https://academic.oup.com/jid/article/198/4/576/833091
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Systematic reviews of scrub typhus have reported a mortality rate of 6% in untreated infection and 1.4% in treated infection, with significant heterogeneity between studies.[5]Bonell A, Lubell Y, Newton PN, et al. Estimating the burden of scrub typhus: a systematic review. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2017 Sep;11(9):e0005838.
https://journals.plos.org/plosntds/article?id=10.1371/journal.pntd.0005838
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[40]Taylor AJ, Paris DH, Newton PN. A systematic review of mortality from untreated scrub typhus (Orientia tsutsugamushi). PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2015 Aug 14;9(8):e0003971.
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The case fatality rate in children was 1.1%, with the most common complications being hepatitis, shock, pneumonia, acute kidney injury, and meningitis/meningo-encephalitis.[41]Mukhopadhyay K, Chakrabarty S, Chatterjee C, et al. Mortality and complications of scrub typhus in the paediatric population: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg. 2021 Nov 1;115(11):1234-46.
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If the patient has recovered naturally, without the use of antibiotics, there is the risk of relapse/recurrence in some rickettsial infections: for example, epidemic typhus (leading to Brill-Zinsser disease) or scrub typhus, which can occur many years after the initial infection.[42]McQuiston JH, Knights EB, Demartino PJ, et al. Brill-Zinsser disease in a patient following infection with sylvatic epidemic typhus associated with flying squirrels. Clin Infect Dis. 2010 Sep 15;51(6):712-5.
https://academic.oup.com/cid/article/51/6/712/460729
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