Prognosis is dependent upon the age at presentation, the extent of treatment needed, and the occurrence of complications. The success of closed or open reduction of a hip dislocation depends upon the remodelling potential of a child's femoral head and acetabulum to achieve an adequately spherical shape with adequate coverage. This remodelling potential is more reliable in younger children, and within the first 12 to 18 months after reduction is achieved. The remodelling potential remains but is likely reduced during the subsequent years of growth.[32]Mencio GA. Developmental dysplasia of the hip. In: Sponseller PD, ed. Orthopedic knowledge update, pediatrics 2. Rosemont, IL: American Academy of Orthopedic Surgeons; 2002:161-172.
Long-term follow-up until skeletal maturity, and well into adulthood, is required to assess functional outcomes. Hips with poor radiographic features can function well during childhood and adolescence, but may later become symptomatic.[50]Kahle WK, Anderson MB, Alpert J, et al. The value of preliminary traction in the treatment of congenital dislocation of the hip. J Bone Joint Surg Am. 1990;72:1043-1047.
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Additionally, delayed development of radiographic complications may occur.[51]Mladenov K, Dora C, Wicart P, et al. Natural history of hips with borderline acetabular index and acetabular dysplasia in infants. J. Pediatr Orthop. 2002;22:607-612.
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Generally, factors associated with poorer prognosis include older age at time of intervention, high dislocation, residual subluxation, and evidence of osteonecrosis.[8]Schwend RM, Pratt WB, Fultz J. Untreated acetabular dysplasia of the hip in the Navajo: a 34 year case series followup. Clin Orthop Relat Res. 1999;364:108-116.
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[33]Zionts LE, MacEwen GD. Treatment of the congenital dislocation of the hip in children between ages of one and three years. J Bone Joint Surg Am. 1986;68:829-846.
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[47]Moseley CF. Developmental hip dysplasia and dislocation: management of the older child. Instr Course Lect. 2001;50:547-53.
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Untreated hip subluxations and dislocations
The natural history of untreated hip subluxation includes the development of symptoms at a mean age of mid-30s for women and mid-50s for men.[33]Zionts LE, MacEwen GD. Treatment of the congenital dislocation of the hip in children between ages of one and three years. J Bone Joint Surg Am. 1986;68:829-846.
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High-riding, complete dislocations may remain minimally symptomatic into mid-adult life, although the presence of a false acetabulum is associated with earlier degenerative arthritis and pain. Untreated unilateral hip dislocations can be more problematic because of limb length inequality, knee valgus, and back pain.[6]Shipman SA, Helfand M, Moyer VA, et al. Screening for developmental dysplasia of the hip: a systematic literature review for the US Preventive Services Task Force. Pediatrics. 2006;117:e557-e576.
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Infants undergoing closed treatment using the Pavlik harness
For patients presenting as infants and using the Pavlik harness, success rates approach 90% and complication rates are considered low. Rates of osteonecrosis range between 1% to 3% for the majority of hips treated. Femoral nerve palsy has an incidence of 2.5% and typically is transient, resolving once the harness is removed.[52]Tibrewal S, Gulati V, Ramachandran M. The Pavlik method: a systematic review of current concepts. J Pediatr Orthop B. 2013;22:516-520.
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Older children undergoing open reduction
Outcomes for hips that have presented later and require more aggressive interventions are more guarded. Reported complication rates vary widely from 12% to 60%.[50]Kahle WK, Anderson MB, Alpert J, et al. The value of preliminary traction in the treatment of congenital dislocation of the hip. J Bone Joint Surg Am. 1990;72:1043-1047.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/2384503?tool=bestpractice.com
[53]Schoenecker PL, Strecker WB. Congenital dislocation of the hip in children: comparison of the effects of femoral shortening and of skeletal traction in treatment. J Bone Joint Surg Am. 1984;66:21-27.
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[54]Lindstrom JR, Ponseti IV, Wenger DR. Acetabular development after reduction in congenital dislocation of the hip. J Bone Joint Surg Am. 1979;61:112-118.
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A series of children who had late-presenting developmental dislocations of the hip and had undergone open reduction and innominate osteotomy identified a 99% rate of survival at 30 years of age, an 86% rate of survival at 40 years of age, and a 54% rate of survival at 45 years of age.[55]Tucci JJ, Kumar SJ, Guille JT, et al. Late acetabular dysplasia following early successful Pavlik harness treatment of congenital dislocation of the hip. J Pediatr Orthop. 1991;11:502-505.
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Residual abnormalities
Generally, treated and untreated hips seem to respond similarly to residual subluxation and dysplasia. Following the occurrence of pain and radiographic evidence of degenerative changes, progression of osteoarthritis can be rapid.[6]Shipman SA, Helfand M, Moyer VA, et al. Screening for developmental dysplasia of the hip: a systematic literature review for the US Preventive Services Task Force. Pediatrics. 2006;117:e557-e576.
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Residually dysplastic hips seem to carry a worse prognosis than a high-riding, complete dislocation.[36]Hedequist D, Kasser J, Emans J. Use of an abduction brace for developmental dysplasia of the hip after failure of Pavlik harness use. J Pediatr Orthop. 2003;23:175-7.
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