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Abstract
Background Studies have examined the association between weight change and risk of cardiovascular (CV) outcomes in the general population. However, very few literature reported the association among obese people with established CV disease (CVD) and the factors associated with weight change are not clear. We sought to investigate this using the UK Biobank data.
Methods In this large prospective population-based cohort study, absolute interval change scores in weight were calculated between weight measurements at baseline and the follow-up. The estimated HRs with 95% CIs were obtained from the Cox regression models to assess the association between weight change and the risk of CV death, cerebrovascular and ischaemic heart diseases and all-cause mortality.
Results Of the 8297 obese participants who had CVD with repeated weight measurements, 43.1% were female. The mean age was 56.6 (SD: 7.2) years. The overall median follow-up of the study was 13.9 (IQR: 13.1–14.6) years. 52.7% of the participants had stable weight change (weight loss or gain<5 kg), 14.2% had large weight loss (≥10 kg) and 5.1% had large weight gain (≥10 kg). Compared with stable weight, only large weight gain was associated with an increased risk of CV death and all-cause mortality (fully adjusted HR (95% CI): 3.05 (1.40 to 6.67) for CV death and 1.93 (1.15 to 3.26) for all-cause mortality).
Conclusions Among obese individuals with CVD, large weight gain is associated with a higher risk of CV death and all-cause mortality. Further studies are needed to understand the exact mechanisms underlying the associations between weight loss or weight gain and mortality.
- Obesity
- Cardiovascular Diseases
- Cohort Studies
- Electronic Health Records
- Risk Factors
Data availability statement
Data are available in a public, open access repository.
Statistics from Altmetric.com
Data availability statement
Data are available in a public, open access repository.
Footnotes
Contributors JZ and BP conceptualised and designed the project. JZ analysed the data. JZ and BP conducted the initial draft manuscript and interpreted the data. BP is the guarantor. All authors JZ, BP and RS were involved in reviewing and editing the manuscript and approved the final version.
Funding The authors have not declared a specific grant for this research from any funding agency in the public, commercial or not-for-profit sectors.
Competing interests None declared.
Patient and public involvement Patients and/or the public were involved in the design, or conduct, or reporting, or dissemination plans of this research. Refer to the Methods section for further details.
Provenance and peer review Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.
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