Table 3

 Unadjusted and adjusted hazard ratios for incidence of chlamydial infection among 16–24-year-old women by setting of recruitment and population characteristics, England, March 2002–August 2003

CharacteristicRecruited from general practiceRecruited from family planningRecruited from GUMTotal stratified by healthcare setting of recruitment
Unadjusted hazard ratios (95% CI)Unadjusted hazard ratios (95% CI)Unadjusted hazard ratios (95% CI)Adjusted hazard ratios* (95% CI)
TotalRef.1.3 (0.6 to 2.7)p = 0.4972.1 (1.1 to 4.3)p = 0.032
GUM, genitourinary medicine; ref, reference group.
*Adjusted hazard ratios come from a multivariable Cox regression stratified by healthcare setting of recruitment.
†Variable selection in adjusted stratified Cox regression model was influenced by unadjusted hazard ratios (p<0.10) and epidemiological factors previously found to be associated with incidence.
‡Last adjusted hazard ratio before the variable was dropped from multivariable modelling.
§The rate of new sexual partner change for the time period immediately preceding infection.
¶Rate of new sexual partner change as continuous.
**Rate of new sexual partner as a continuous variable was not included in the final adjusted multivariable model as the categorical variable was determined to be more explanatory.
No evidence found for non-proportional hazards in the final adjusted multivariable model (p = 0.66). No evidence of a difference between healthcare settings of recruitment (in a model with healthcare setting of recruitment as a covariate rather than as a stratification variable; p = 0.61).
Reason for attendance (baseline)
    Attended for symptomsNo events2.1 (0.6 to 7.3)p = 0.2371.1 (0.5 to 2.5)p = 0.878
    Other reason, but reported symptoms1.9 (0.6 to 6.4)p = 0.2720.4 (0.1 to 1.5)p = 0.1921.2 (0.5 to 3.0)p = 0.663
    AsymptomaticRefRefRef
Age group (years)†
    16–172.7 (0.7 to 10.7)p = 0.1621.4 (0.5 to 3.7)p = 0.5341.4 (0.5 to 4.1)p = 0.5033.1 (1.3 to 7.4)p = 0.013
    18–200.7 (0.2 to 3.3)p = 0.6920.5 (0.2 to 1.7)p = 0.2941.9 (0.8 to 4.2)p = 0.1371.1 (0.5 to 2.8)p = 0.763
    21–24RefRefRefRef
Ethnic group†
    WhiteRefRefRefRef
    Non-whiteNo eventsNo events11.2 (2.6 to 48.7)p = 0.0017.8 (1.6 to 39.4)p = 0.012
    Unknown1.2 (0.3 to 4.5)p = 0.7870.3 (0.03 to 1.9)p = 0.1850.9 (0.4 to 2.1)p = 0.761Not in model
Ever had chlamydia (baseline)†
    Yes2.0 (0.2 to 16.4)p = 0.514No events3.4 (1.6 to 7.6)p = 0.0022.5 (1.1 to 6.1)p = 0.038
    NoRefRefRefRef
Condom use at last sexual intercourse†
    Yes0.4 (0.1 to 3.6)p = 0.4510.6 (0.2 to 2.2)p = 0.4440.2 (0.03 to 1.8)p = 0.1670.4 (0.2 to 1.2)p = 0.685‡
    NoRefRefRefRef
Symptoms (yes, past 6 months)No is refNo is refNo is refNo is ref
    Cystitis (urinary tract infection)No events1.3 (0.4 to 4.7)p = 0.6590.9 (0.3 to 3.2)p = 0.828
    Frequent urination†No events2.4 (0.8 to 7.7)p = 0.1252.2 (0.7 to 6.7)p = 0.1841.4 (0.5 to 3.7)p = 0.484‡
    Abdominal pain2.2 (0.5 to 8.7)p = 0.277No events0.9 (0.3 to 3.2)p = 0.895
    Bleeding between periods1.8 (0.4 to 8.9)p = 0.4460.5 (0.1 to 3.6)p = 0.4741.5 (0.4 to 5.3)p = 0.521
    Bleeding after sexual intercourse†No events1.0 (0.1 to 7.6)p = 0.9943.0 (0.9 to 10.6)p = 0.0842.3 (0.7 to 7.4)p = 0.170‡
    Pain during sexual intercourse†No events0.6 (0.1 to 4.3)p = 0.5750.3 (0.04 to 2.6)p = 0.2950.2 (0.03 to 1.6)p = 0.133‡
    Discharge†1.6 (0.3 to 7.8)p = 0.5511.9 (0.5 to 6.6)p = 0.3371.2 (0.3 to 4.2)p = 0.7801.1 (0.3 to 3.2)p = 0.918‡
    None0.5 (0.1 to 2.2)p = 0.3850.8 (0.3 to 2.1)p = 0.6180.6 (0.2 to 1.7)p = 0.349
Recent rate of sexual partner change per 6 months†,§10.1 (0.7 to 141)p = 0.087¶2.2 (1.3 to 3.7)p = 0.003¶1.7 (0.6 to 4.7)p = 0.270¶**
    No male sexual partner changeRefRefRefRef
    1–3 new male sexual partners3.1 (0.8 to 12.3)p = 0.1135.5 (1.5 to 20.3)p = 0.0114.6 (1.5 to 14.1)p = 0.0075.5 (2.2 to 13.9)p = 0.00‡
    >3 new male sexual partners27.7 (2.9 to 269)p = 0.00498.1 (21.7 to 444)p = 0.00No events12.4 (2.8 to 54.2)p = 0.001‡
Partner change and condom at last sexual intercourse
    Used a condom at last sexual intercourse, and:
        No male sexual partner changeRefRefRefRef
        1–3 new male sexual partnersNo events1.0 (0.1 to 11.3)p = 0.9901.1 (0.1 to 9.8)p = 1.001.1 (0.2 to 6.7)p = 0.925
        >3 new male sexual partnersNo eventsNo eventsNo eventsNo events
    Did not use a condom at last sexual intercourse, and:
        No male sexual partner change0.8 (0.1 to 7.6)p = 0.8380.2 (0.02 to 2.2)p = 0.1861.7 (0.2 to 15.3)p = 0.6300.7 (0.2 to 3.1)p = 0.685
        1–3 new male sexual partners3.3 (0.4 to 29.7)p = 0.2852.8 (0.6 to 13.1)p = 0.1958.1 (1.1 to 62.3)p = 0.0434.1 (1.1 to 14.5)p = 0.030
        >3 new male sexual partners85.8 (4.0 to 1831)p = 0.00445.7 (8.3 to 253)p = 0.001No events9.2 (1.6 to 52.0)p = 0.012