Table 5

Associations between baseline IL-6, change in IL-6 over 2.5 years and change in knee pain over 5 years

Model AModel B
OutcomePredictor typeb (CI)b (CI)
Total painBaseline0.26 (−0.24 to 0.76)0.29 (−0.22 to 0.79)
Change−0.59 (−1.77 to 0.59)−0.63 (−1.86 to 0.60)
Pain on flat surfaceBaseline0.00 (−0.10 to 0.09)0.00 (−0.10 to 0.10)
Change−0.09 (−0.32 to 0.14)−0.08 (−0.32 to 0.15)
Pain on stairsBaseline0.00 (−0.16 to 0.16)0.02 (−0.14 to 0.17)
Change−0.02 (−0.38 to 0.35)−0.01 (−0.38 to 0.37)
Pain lying in bedBaseline0.04 (−0.12 to 0.20)0.04 (−0.13 to 0.21)
Change−0.21 (−0.59 to 0.18)−0.23 (−0.64 to 0.18)
Pain sittingBaseline0.08 (−0.04 to 0.21)0.09 (−0.04 to 0.22)
Change−0.06 (−0.35 to 0.24)−0.09 (−0.41 to 0.23)
Pain standingBaseline0.15 (0.01 to 0.30)0.16 (0.01 to 0.31)
Change−0.14 (−0.48 to 0.20)−0.15 (−0.51 to 0.20)
  • Model A, baseline IL-6 plus change in IL-6 per annum, adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, baseline pain, smoking, asthma, bronchitis, diabetes, heart disease and steps per day.

  • Model B, model A further adjusted for radiographic osteoarthritis.

  • Significant associations are shown in bold.

  • IL-6, interleukin 6.