Table 1

Summary of articles with models predicting complications in severe malaria

NStudyYearPeriod of participant recruitmentCountryType of studySample sizeStatistics usedName of modelMethod internal
of
validation
Age profilesSex
profiles
Outcome predictedVariables usedDiagnostic propertiesExternal validationUse in clinical settings
Complications of malaria severe anaemia
1Weber et al 15 1997July to December 1994GambiaCohort368Logistic regressionNoneNoneMedian age: 28 months (IQR: 14–48 months)Females—49%Paediatric development of severe anaemia in malaria (packed cell volume <15%)Pallor of conjunctiva and pallor of palmsSensitivity of 80% and a specificity of 85%.NoneNE
Development of sepsis
2Njim et al 8 2018June 2003 to May 2005Bangladesh, India, Indonesia and MyanmartRandomised control trial1187Logistic regressionNoneBootsrapping17–87 yearsFemale—24.3%Development of clinical sepsis in adults with severe falciparum malariaSex, blood urea nitrogen levels, plasma anion gap, respiratory distress, shock on admission, parasitaemia, coma and jaundiceAUC: 0.789.
Sensitivity—70.0%; specificity—69.4%
NoneNE
  • AUC, area under the curve; NE, no evidence.