Factors associated with job start for JSA clients
Variable | Unadjusted IRR (95% CI)* | P values | Adjusted IRR (95% CI)† | P values |
Individual factors | ||||
Gender | <0.001 | 0.435 | ||
Male | 1 | 1 | ||
Female | 0.84 (0.80 to 0.89) | 0.95 (0.89 to 1.02) | ||
Length of prior unemployment | <0.001 | <0.001 | ||
0–6 months | 1 | 1 | ||
7–12 months | 0.95 (0.85 to 1.05) | 0.98 (0.88 to 1.09) | ||
1–2 years | 0.80 (0.72 to 0.88) | 0.84 (0.76 to 0.93) | ||
3–5 years | 0.51 (0.45 to 0.58) | 0.63 (0.56 to 0.72) | ||
6–10 years | 0.39 (0.34 to 0.44) | 0.51 (0.44 to 0.58) | ||
11+ years | 0.26 (0.21 to 0.28) | 0.39 (0.33 to 0.45) | ||
Highest qualification | <0.001 | <0.01 | ||
Degree or higher | 1 | 1 | ||
A levels/NVQ level 3 and equivalent | 0.83 (0.74 to 0.92) | 0.95 (0.84 to 1.06) | ||
Five or more GCSEs grades A*–C and equivalent | 0.79 (0.71 to 0.89) | 0.94 (0.84 to 1.06) | ||
Under 5 GCSEs A*–C and equivalent | 0.63 (0.56 to 0.70) | 0.83 (0.74 to 0.93) | ||
Below GSCE level | 0.55 (0.49 to 0.61) | 0.76 (0.68 to 0.85) | ||
Ethnicity | <0.01 | 0.476 | ||
White British | 1 | 1 | ||
Other | 1.12 (1.03 to 1.21) | 0.96 (0.88 to 1.04) | ||
Have health concerns which believe will affect ability to work | <0.001 | <0.001 | ||
No | 1 | 1 | ||
Yes | 0.41 (0.37 to 0.44) | 0.64 (0.58 to 0.70) | ||
Number of health conditions disclosed | <0.001 | <0.001 | ||
0 | 1 | 1 | ||
1 | 0.66 (0.61 to 0.71) | 0.88 (0.82 to 0.95) | ||
2 | 0.46 (0.40 to 0.52) | 0.76 (0.66 to 0.88) | ||
3 or more | 0.25 (0.20 to 0.32) | 0.55 (0.43 to 0.71) | ||
Client perception of job start—When do you see yourself starting work? | <0.001 | <0.001 | ||
Within 1 month | 1 | 1 | ||
2–3 months | 0.81 (0.76 to 0.87) | 0.83 (0.78 to 0.89) | ||
4–6 months | 0.55 (0.50 to 0.61) | 0.65 (0.58 to 0.72) | ||
>6 months | 0.25 (0.21 to 0.31) | 0.41 (0.34 to 0.50) | ||
Do not know | 0.49 (0.45 to 0.53) | 0.64 (0.59 to 0.69) | ||
Personal circumstances | ||||
Caring responsibility for anyone other than children | <0.001 | <0.001 | ||
No | 1 | 1 | ||
Yes | 0.74 (0.64 to 0.85) | 0.75 (0.66 to 0.86) | ||
Housing status | <0.001 | <0.001 | ||
Homeowner | 1 | 1 | ||
Living with family | 0.80 (0.69 to 0.92) | 0.99 (0.86 to 1.14) | ||
Rented private | 0.80 (0.69 to 0.92) | 1.00 (0.87 to 1.16) | ||
Rented social | 0.67 (0.59 to 0.76) | 0.93 (0.81 to 1.07) | ||
Insecure | 0.41 (0.34 to 0.50) | 0.65 (0.53 to 0.79) | ||
Parental status | <0.01 | 0.505 | ||
No children | 1 | 1 | ||
Children, two parent family | 0.98 (0.88 to 1.09) | 0.98 (0.87 to 1.09) | ||
Children, shared custody/not living with you | 0.83 (0.77 to 0.91) | 0.93 (0.85 to 1.01) | ||
Children, lone parent family | 0.87 (0.79 to 0.96) | 1.03 (0.94 to 1.14) | ||
Children, adults living at home/adults not living at home | 0.99 (0.88 to 1.11) | 1.08 (0.96 to 1.21) | ||
External factors | ||||
SIMD quintiles | <0.001 | 0.145 | ||
1 (most deprived) | 1 | 1 | ||
2 | 1.08 (1.01 to 1.15) | 1.03 (0.97 to 1.11) | ||
3 | 1.06 (0.98 to 1.15) | 1.00 (0.92 to 1.09) | ||
4 | 1.26 (1.14 to 1.40) | 1.10 (0.99 to 1.22) | ||
5 (least deprived) | 1.42 (1.26 to 1.61) | 1.12 (0.99 to 1.28) | ||
Sixfold urban rural classification | <0.05 | 0.069 | ||
1 Large urban areas | 1 | 1 | ||
2 Other urban areas | 0.96 (0.90 to 1.01) | 0.94 (0.89 to 1.00) | ||
3 Accessible small towns | 1.00 (0.90 to 1.11) | 1.02 (0.91 to 1.13) | ||
4 Remote small towns | 0.66 (0.54 to 0.82) | 0.73 (0.59 to 0.91) | ||
5 Accessible rural | 0.99 (0.86 to 1.14) | 0.98 (0.85 to 1.13) | ||
6 Remote rural | 0.82 (0.64 to 1.05) | 0.76 (0.59 to 0.97) |
Linear trends are shown for length of unemployment, highest qualification, number of health conditions and SIMD quintiles. All other variables show overall trend.
*Model contained age and gender.
†Model adjusted for age, gender, length of unemployment, highest qualification, ethnicity, health concerns, number of health conditions, client perception of job start, caring responsibility, housing status, parental status, SIMD quintiles and sixfold urban rural classification.
GCSE, General Certificate of Secondary Education; IRR, incident rate ratios; JSA, Jobseeker’s Allowance; SIMD, Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation.