Table 3

Cost-effective interventions to control CVD and DM in South Asia

InterventionComparatorAnalytical time horizonIncremental cost per capita (US$)*Incremental effect (DALY averted/QALY gained)*ICER, 2017†
Cost-effectiveness threshold:
<GDP per capita per QALY=green;
1–3×GDP per capita per QALY=yellow
Primordial prevention
Policy  interventions
Tobacco control strategies (Ortegón et al 29)Incremental DALYs averted per million population
 Increased taxation (60%)No interventionLifetime0.273043207
 Tax increase+advertisement banIncreased taxationLifetime0.1607.0423
 Tax increase+clean indoor air lawIncreased taxationLifetime0.09574366
 Tax increase+information/labellingTax increase+clean indoor air lawLifetime0.11485529
 Tax increase+advertisement ban+clean indoor air lawTax increase+clean indoor air lawLifetime0.12683410
 Tax increase+advertisement ban+information/labellingTax increase+advertisement
ban+clean indoor air law
Lifetime0.11485529
 Tax increase+clean indoor air law+advertisement ban+information and labellingTax increase+advertisement
ban+clean indoor air law
Lifetime0.20996.0468
Tobacco control strategies (Jha et al 60)
 33% price increase—low-end effect estimateNo interventionLifetime5
 33% price increase—high-end effect estimateNo interventionLifetime71
 Non-price interventions‡ effectiveness 2%–10%—low-end estimateNo interventionLifetime89
 Non-price interventions‡ effectiveness 2%–10%—high-end estimateNo interventionLifetime1132
Complete smoking ban in public places (Donaldson et al 30)Current legislation for partial smoking ban in public places10 years−36 056 95717 478 (acute myocardial infarction case averted)732
School-based smoking prevention programme (Brown et al 31)No intervention175 438.54.52 (QALY/smoker averted) 4501
Promoting healthy diet strategies (Cecchini et al 32)
 Food labellingNo intervention20 years2220
 Fiscal measure for 100% populationNo intervention50 yearsCost-saving
 Food advertising regulationNo intervention50 years774
 Food labellingNo intervention50 years1810
Promoting healthy diet strategies (Murray et al 57)
 Salt reduction through voluntary agreements with industryNo interventionLifetime106
 Population-wide reduction in salt intake legislationNo interventionLifetime54
 Health education through mass mediaNo interventionLifetime40
 Salt reduction via legislation+health education via mass mediaNo interventionLifetime49
Promoting healthy diet strategies (Willett et al 5)Lifetime
 Media campaign to reduce saturated fat contentNo interventionLifetime5086
 Substitute 2% of energy from trans fat with polyunsaturated fatty acid (7% coronary artery disease reduction at $0.5 per adult)No interventionLifetime104
 Substitute 2% of energy from trans fat with polyunsaturated fatty acid (7% coronary artery disease reduction at $0.6 per adult)No interventionLifetime2765
 Substitute 2% of energy from trans fat with polyunsaturated fatty acid (40% coronary artery disease reduction at $0.5 per adult)No interventionLifetimeCost-saving
 Substitute 2% of energy from trans fat with polyunsaturated fatty acid (40% coronary artery disease reduction at $0.6 per adult)No interventionLifetime376
 Reducing salt content by means of legislation+public educationNo interventionLifetime3613
Blood pressure-lowering strategies (Rodgers et al 59)Lifetime
 Prevention by salt legislationNo interventionLifetime49
Alcohol control strategies (Chisholm et al 15)
 Taxation current+25% (alcohol use)No interventionLifetimeCost-saving
 Taxation current+50% (alcohol use)No interventionLifetimeCost-saving
 Breath testingNo interventionLifetime152
 Highest tax+advertisement banNo interventionLifetime5002
Primary prevention
Policy interventions
Universal screening for diabetes and hypertension (Dupka et al 73DALY averted per person
 Current Package of Essential Non-Communicable (PEN) disease interventions programmeNo screeningLifetime−77.20.038Cost-saving
 Universal screeningCurrent WHO-PEN programmeLifetime−33.10.016Cost-saving
Screening for GDM to prevent DM (Lohse
et al 66)
No interventionLifetime262.3316
Screening to prevent GDM (Marseille et al 35)No interventionLifetime194 3581202317
Expansion of national insurance to cover primary, secondary and tertiary treatment for CVD (Basu et al 39)Incremental DALY averted per annum
 Insurance coverage for primary prevention of CVDStatus quo20 years1.192544.5528
Clinical interventions
Tobacco control strategies (Jha et al 60)
 Nicotine replacement therapy effectiveness 1%–5%—low-end estimateNo interventionLifetime142
 Nicotine replacement therapy effectiveness 1%–5%—high-end estimateNo interventionLifetime1880
To reduce alcohol use (Chisholm et al 15)
 Brief physician adviceNo interventionLifetime175
CVD prevention strategies (Ortegón et al 29)Incremental DALYs averted per million population
Preventive multidrug treatment (>5% risk of CVD event)No interventionLifetime1.9745424238
Preventive multidrug treatment (>35% risk of CVD event)Preventive multidrug treatment (>5% risk of CVD event)Lifetime0.382582341
Combination of individual-based drug
therapy for hypertension and cholesterol
control
Preventive multidrug treatment (>5% risk of CVD event)Lifetime1.817802358
Combined home health education plus trained general practitioner for hypertension management (Jafar  et al 36No intervention2 years48
Diabetes prevention strategies (Narayan
et al 34)
 Smoking cessation (physician counselling and nicotine replacement therapy)No interventionLifetime1990.6
 Preconception care for women of reproductive ageNo interventionLifetimeCost-saving
 Lifestyle interventions to prevent type 2 diabetesNo interventionLifetime163.6
 Metformin intervention to prevent type 2 diabetesNo interventionLifetime4962.9
Lifestyle modification+metformin to prevent type 2 diabetes (Ramachandran et al 37)Number needed to treat to prevent a case of diabetes
 Lifestyle modificationStandard healthcare advice3 years1646.42302
 MetforminStandard healthcare advice3 years1596.92396
 Lifestyle modification+metforminStandard healthcare advice3 years2096.52973
Secondary and tertiary prevention
Policy interventions
Policies to expand use of drugs for acute myocardial infarction (Megiddo et al 38)
Acute myocardial infarction treatment
 Aspirin to baselineNo interventionLifetime0.6
 Aspirin+injection streptokinaseAspirin to baselineLifetime693
Acute myocardial infarction prevention
 Aspirin to baselineNo interventionLifetime299
 Aspirin+BBAspirin to baselineLifetime1960
 Aspirin+BB+ACEiAspirin+BBLifetime3120
 Polypill to baselineAspirin+BB+ACEi+statinLifetime1904
Expansion of national insurance to cover primary, secondary and tertiary treatment for CVD (Basu et al)39 Incremental DALY averted per annum
 Insurance coverage for secondary prevention of CVDStatus quo20 years0.36147.92708
 Insurance coverage for tertiary treatment of CVDStatus quo20 years4.682076.82538
Clinical interventions
CVD treatment strategies (Ortegón et al 29)Incremental DALYs averted per million population
 Treatment of CHF with diureticsNo interventionLifetime0.03402188.9
 Treatment of CHF with diuretics+exercise trainingTreatment of CHF with diureticsLifetime0.0260776.6
 Treatment of CHF with diuretics+exercise training+ACEiTreatment of CHF with diureticsLifetime0.04721296.7
 Treatment of CHF with diuretics+exercise training+BBTreatment of CHF with diureticsLifetime0.08951963
 Treatment of post-acute ischaemic heart disease and stroke with aspirin, BB, statinNo interventionLifetime0.03609114
 Treatment of acute myocardial infarction (aspirin, BB, ACEi, streptokinase)+post-acute ischaemic heart disease with aspirin, BB, statinNo interventionLifetime0.361047799
 Treatment of acute myocardial infarction (aspirin, BB, ACEi, streptokinase)+post-acute ischaemic heart disease with aspirin, BB, statin, ACEiTreatment of acute myocardial infarction (aspirin, BB, ACEi, streptokinase)+post-acute ischaemic heart disease with aspirin, BB, statinLifetime0.37945914
 Treatment of acute myocardial infarction (aspirin, BB, ACEi, streptokinase)+post-acute ischaemic heart disease and stroke with aspirin, BB, statinNo interventionLifetime0.04263354
 Treatment of acute myocardial infarction (aspirin, BB, ACEi, streptokinase)+post-acute ischaemic heart disease and stroke with aspirin, BB, statin+CHF (diuretic, exercise)Treatment of acute myocardial infarction (aspirin, BB, ACEi, streptokinase)+post-acute ischaemic heart disease and stroke with aspirin, BB, statinLifetime0.261879321
 Individual-based prevention (hypertension and cholesterol control)+treatment of acute myocardial infarction (aspirin, BB, ACEi, streptokinase)+post-acute ischaemic heart disease (aspirin, BB, statin)No interventionLifetime2.5755261084
 Individual-based prevention (hypertension and cholesterol control)+treatment of acute myocardial infarction (aspirin, BB, ACEi, streptokinase)+post-acute ischaemic heart disease (aspirin, BB, ACEi, statin)Individual-based prevention (hypertension and cholesterol control)+treatment of acute myocardial infarction (aspirin, BB, ACEi, streptokinase)+post-acute ischaemic heart disease (aspirin, BB, statin)Lifetime0.04250373
 Individual-based prevention (hypertension and cholesterol control)+treatment of acute myocardial infarction (aspirin, BB, ACEi, streptokinase)+post-acute ischaemic heart disease and stroke (aspirin, BB, statin)Individual-based prevention (hypertension and cholesterol control)+treatment of acute myocardial infarction (aspirin, BB, ACEi, streptokinase)+post-acute ischaemic heart disease (aspirin, BB, ACEi, statin)Lifetime0.04201464
 Individual-based prevention (hypertension and cholesterol control)+treatment of post-acute ischaemic heart disease and stroke (aspirin, BB, statin)+CHF (diuretic, exercise)Individual-based prevention (hypertension and cholesterol control)+treatment of acute myocardial infarction (aspirin, BB, ACEi, streptokinase)+post-acute ischaemic heart disease and stroke (aspirin, BB, statin)Lifetime−0.23119Cost-saving
 Individual-based prevention (hypertension and cholesterol control)+treatment of acute myocardial infarction (aspirin, BB, ACEi, streptokinase)+post-acute ischaemic heart disease and stroke (aspirin, BB, statin)+CHF (diuretic, exercise)Individual-based prevention (hypertension and cholesterol control)+treatment of post-acute ischaemic heart disease and stroke (aspirin, BB, statin)+CHF (diuretic, exercise)Lifetime0.264371387
 Combination drug treatment (>25% risk of CVD event)+treatment of acute myocardial infarction (aspirin, BB, ACEi, streptokinase)+treatment of post-acute ischaemic heart disease (aspirin, BB, statin)No interventionLifetime1.164852557
 Combination drug treatment (>25% risk of CVD event)+treatment of acute myocardial infarction (aspirin, BB, ACEi, streptokinase)+treatment of post-acute ischaemic heart disease (aspirin, BB, ACEi, statin)Combination drug treatment (>25% risk of CVD event)+treatment of acute myocardial infarction (aspirin, BB, ACEi, streptokinase)+treatment of post-acute ischaemic heart disease (aspirin, BB, statin)Lifetime0.04237394
 Combination drug treatment (>25% risk of CVD event)+treatment of acute myocardial infarction (aspirin, BB, ACEi, streptokinase)+treatment of post-acute ischaemic heart disease and stroke (aspirin, BB, statin)Combination drug treatment (>25% risk of CVD event)+treatment of acute myocardial infarction (aspirin, BB, ACEi,  streptokinase)+treatment of post-acute ischaemic   heart   disease (aspirin, BB, ACEi, statin)Lifetime0.04178524
 Combination drug treatment (>25% risk of CVD event)+treatment of post-acute ischaemic heart disease and stroke (aspirin, BB, statin)+CHF (diuretics, exercise)Combination drug treatment (>25% risk of CVD event)+treatment of acute myocardial infarction (aspirin, BB, ACEi, streptokinase)+treatment of post-acute ischaemic   heart   disease and stroke (aspirin, BB, statin)Lifetime−0.2332Cost-saving
 Preventive multidrug treatment for >25% risk of CVD event+multidrug treatment of acute myocardial infarction or post-acute ischaemic heart disease and stroke+diuretics and exercise for CHFCombination drug treatment (>25% risk of CVD event)+treatment of post-acute ischaemic   heart   disease and stroke (aspirin, BB, statin)+CHF (diuretics, exercise)Lifetime0.265581086
 Combination drug treatment (>35% risk of CVD event)+treatment of post-acute ischaemic heart disease and stroke (aspirin, BB, statin)+CHF (diuretics, exercise)Combination drug treatment (>35% risk of CVD event)+treatment of post-acute ischaemic heart disease and stroke (aspirin, BB, statin)+CHF (diuretics, exercise)Lifetime−0.2331Cost-saving
 Preventive multidrug treatment for >35% risk of CVD event+multidrug treatment of acute myocardial infarction or post-acute ischaemic heart disease and stroke+diuretics and exercise for CHFCombination drug treatment (>35% risk of CVD event)+treatment of post-acute ischaemic heart disease and stroke (aspirin, BB, statin)+CHF (diuretics, exercise)Lifetime0.26630963
CVD treatment strategies (Murray et al 57)
 Treatment of SBP above 160 mm Hg with BB and diureticNo interventionLifetime103.2
 Treatment of SBP above 140 mm Hg with BB and diureticNo interventionLifetime257.9
 Treatment with statins for total cholesterol concentrations above education 6.2 mmol/LNo interventionLifetime134.7
 Treatment with statins for total cholesterol concentrations above education 5.7 mmol/LNo interventionLifetime203.5
 Treatment of SBP above 140 mm Hg with BB and diuretics and with statins for total cholesterol concentrations above 6.2 mmol/LNo interventionLifetime240.7
 Multiple drug therapy in >35% CV risk over 10 yearsNo interventionLifetimeCost-saving
 Multiple drug therapy in >25% CV risk over 10 yearsNo interventionLifetime94.6
 Multiple drug therapy in >15% CV risk over 10 yearsNo interventionLifetime137.5
 Multiple drug therapy in >5% CV risk over 10 yearsNo interventionLifetime220.7
CVD treatment and secondary prevention (Gaziano et al 43)
 Medical therapy for acute myocardial infarction with aspirinNo interventionLifetime25.8
 Medical therapy for acute myocardial infarction with aspirin+BBNo interventionLifetime31.5
 Medical therapy for acute myocardial infarction with aspirin+BB+streptokinaseNo interventionLifetime1828.8
 Medical therapy (aspirin+BB) for ischaemic heart disease, having hospital accessNo interventionLifetimeCost-saving
 Medical therapy (aspirin+BB+ACEi) for ischaemic heart disease, having hospital accessNo interventionLifetime2049.5
 Medical therapy (aspirin+BB+ACEi+statin) for ischaemic heart disease, having hospital accessNo interventionLifetime5214.2
 Medical therapy (aspirin+BB) for ischaemic heart disease, limited hospital accessNo interventionLifetime1106.4
 Medical therapy (aspirin+BB+ACEi) for ischaemic heart disease, limited hospital accessNo interventionLifetime2373.4
 ACEi for CHF, hospital accessBaseline of diureticsLifetimeCost-saving
 ACEi, BB (metoprolol) for CHF, hospital accessBaseline of diureticsLifetime627.7
 ACEi for CHF, limited hospital accessBaseline of diureticsLifetime71.6
 ACEi, BB (metoprolol) for CHF, limited hospital accessBaseline of diureticsLifetime782.5
Blood pressure-lowering strategies (Rodgers et al 59)
 Multidrug regimen (aspirin, a BB, a thiazide diuretic, an ACEi and a statin) in 35% CV risk over 10 yearsNo interventionLifetime1827
 Multidrug regimen (aspirin, a BB, a thiazide diuretic, an ACEi and a statin) in 25% CV risk over 10 yearsNo interventionLifetime3408.6
 Multidrug regimen (aspirin, a BB, a thiazide diuretic, an ACEi and a statin) in 15% CV risk over 10 yearsNo interventionLifetime5268.2
Treat-to-target, benefit-based tailored treatment strategy vs hybrid strategy for lowering CVD risk (Basu et al 78)
 People treated identically by all three strategiesNo intervention10 years383.7
 People treated most intensively by treat-to-targetNo intervention10 years432.1
 People treated most intensively by benefit-based tailored treatmentNo intervention10 years206.1
 People treated most intensively by hybridNo intervention10 years384.4
Prehospital ECG for accurate referral and timely access to reperfusion (Schulman-Marcus et al 40)No ECG-based referral in case of chest painLifetime0.150.012 (QALY gained)26.1
Diabetes treatment strategies (Narayan
et al 34)
Lifetime
 Glycaemic control in people with HbA1c >9% (insulin, oral glucose-lowering agents, diet and exercise)No interventionLifetimeCost-saving
 Blood pressure control in people with >160/95 mm HgNo interventionLifetimeCost-saving
 Foot care in people with a high risk of ulcersNo interventionLifetimeCost-saving
 Influenza vaccination among elderlyNo interventionLifetime490.8
 Annual eye examinationNo interventionLifetime954.4
 ACEi use for people with diabetesNo interventionLifetime1390.7
 Intensive glucose control for people with HbA1c >8% (insulin, oral glucose-lowering agents or both)No interventionLifetime5453.7
Treatment of diabetes and its complications (Ortegón et al 29)Incremental DALYs averted per million population
 Standard glycaemic controlNo interventionLifetime0.8217171115
 Retinopathy screening and photocoagulation therapyNo interventionLifetime0.321891396.4
 Standard glycaemic control+retinopathy
 screening+neuropathy screening
Intensive glycaemic control+neuropathy screeningLifetime−0.65213Cost-saving
BIAsp 30±oral glucose-lowering drugs (Gupta et al 41)Incremental QALY gained per annum
 BIAsp 30BHI 30 or IGlar30 years868.4962.52412.9
 BIAsp 30NPH insulin30 years−2524.1922.82Cost-saving
 BIAsp 30IGlar30 years527.2322.74228.8
 BIAsp 30BHI 30 or IGlar1 year123.2640.21684.2
 BIAsp 30IGlar1 year93.9840.23487.2
Basal insulin vs oral glucose-lowering drugs (Home et al 75)Incremental QALY gained per annum
 Basal insulin treatment with insulin detemirOral glucose-lowering drugs30 years3510.364.97834.1
 Basal insulin treatment with insulin detemirOral glucose-lowering drugs1 year338.7960.3221243.4
Telemedicine screening+diabetic retinopathy treatment (Rachapelle et al 27)
Health system perspectiveIncremental QALY gained per annum
 Screening once in a lifetimeNo screening25 years6.50.00492214.1
 Screening twice in a lifetimeNo screening25 years5.30.00392252.7
 Screening every 5 yearsNo screening25 years19.60.00973400.1
 Screening every 3 yearsNo screening25 years17.40.00843411.8
 Screening every 2 yearsNo screening25 years18.40.00754084.5
Societal perspective
 Screening once in a lifetimeNo screening25 years13.20.00494515.6
 Screening twice in a lifetimeNo screening25 years9.70.00394151.6
 Screening every 5 yearsNo screening25 years30.30.00975257
Combination of primordial, primary, secondary and tertiary prevention
Interventions to reduce hazardous alcohol use (Chisholm et al 15)
 Highest tax+advertisement ban+brief adviceNo interventionLifetime2562.7
Blood pressure-lowering strategies (Rodgers et al 59)
 Prevention by salt legislation+health educationNo interventionLifetime87.2
 Treatment with aspirin, BB, and a statin+salt legislation+health education in 35% CV risk over 10 yearsNo interventionLifetime362.6
 Treatment with aspirin, BB, and a statin+salt legislation+health education in 25% CV risk over 10 yearsNo interventionLifetime1576
 Treatment with aspirin, BB, and a statin+salt legislation+health education in 15% CV risk over 10 yearNo interventionLifetime3054
Intervention for CVD prevention and treatment (Murray et al 57)
 Combination of legislation for salt reduction, health education and treatment of individuals with combined CV risk of 35% with statin, diuretic, BB and aspirinNo interventionLifetime63
 Combination of legislation for salt reduction, health education and treatment of individuals with combined CV risk of 25% with statin, diuretic, BB and aspirinNo interventionLifetime89
 Combination of legislation for salt reduction, health education and treatment of individuals with combined CV risk of 15% with statin, diuretic, BB and aspirinNo interventionLifetime132
 Combination of legislation for salt reduction, health education and treatment of individuals with combined CV risk of 5% with statin, diuretic, BB and aspirinNo interventionLifetime212
CVD prevention and treatment strategies (Ortegón et al 29)Incremental DALYs averted per million population
 Population-based prevention (hypertension and cholesterol control)+treatment of acute myocardial infarction (aspirin, BB, ACEi, streptokinase)+post-acute ischaemic heart disease (aspirin, BB, statin)No interventionLifetime0.552376538
 Population-based prevention (hypertension and cholesterol control)+treatment of acute myocardial infarction (aspirin, BB, ACEi, streptokinase)+post-acute ischaemic heart disease (aspirin, BB, ACEi, statin)Population-based prevention (hypertension and cholesterol control)+treatment of acute myocardial infarction (aspirin, BB, ACEi, streptokinase)+post-acute ischaemic heart disease (aspirin, BB, statin)Lifetime0.04285326
 Population-based prevention (hypertension and cholesterol control)+treatment of acute myocardial infarction (aspirin, BB, ACEi, streptokinase)+post-acute ischaemic heart disease and stroke (aspirin, BB, statin)Population-based prevention (hypertension and cholesterol control)+treatment of acute myocardial infarction (aspirin, BB, ACEi, streptokinase)+post-acute ischaemic heart disease (aspirin, BB, ACEi, statin)Lifetime0.04246380
 Population-based prevention (hypertension and cholesterol control)+treatment of acute myocardial infarction (aspirin, BB, ACEi, streptokinase)+post-acute Ischaemic heart disease and stroke (aspirin, BB, statin)+CHF (diuretic, exercise)Population-based prevention (hypertension and cholesterol control)+treatment of post-acute ischaemic heart disease and stroke (aspirin, BB, statin)+CHF (diuretic, exercise)Lifetime0.26646937
Expansion of national insurance to cover primary, secondary and tertiary treatment for CVD (Basu et al)39 Incremental DALY averted per annum
 Insurance coverage for primary+secondary prevention of CVDPrimary prevention only20 years0.35145.02739
 Insurance coverage for primary+tertiary prevention of CVDPrimary prevention only20 years4.672084.62525
  • GDP per capita (US$, 2016) for India, Pakistan and Bhutan are 1861.5, 1468.2 and 729.5, respectively.

  • *Values refer to original study period.

  • †Conversion to current year, based on midyear consumer price index inflation rates.

  • ‡Non-price interventions to reduce tobacco use:

  • –protection from exposure to tobacco smoke

  • regulation of the contents of tobacco products

  • regulation of tobacco product disclosures

  • packaging and labelling of tobacco products

  • education, communication, training and public awareness

  • tobacco advertising, promotion and sponsorship

  • demand reduction measures concerning tobacco dependence and cessation.

  • §Conducted in Bhutan.

  • ¶Conducted in Pakistan.

  • ACEi, ACE inhibitors; BB, beta-blockers (blood pressure-lowering agents; BHI, biphasic human insulin; BIAsp 30, biphasic insulin aspart 30; CHF, congestive heart failure; CV, cardiovascular; CVD, cardiovascular diseases; DALY, disability-adjusted life years; DM, diabetes mellitus; GDM, gestation diabetes mellitus; GDP, gross domestic product; HbA1c, glycated haemoglobin; ICER, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; IGlar, insulin glargine; QALY, quality-adjusted life years; NPH, neutral protamine Hagedorn; SBP, systolic blood pressure.