Table 3

Linear regression between contextual variables and fourth year performance

Variable	x̅	SD	B	95% CI	Sig
School type
State comprehensive (reference)	74.25	2.43
Sixth form college	74.31	2.46	−0.07	−0.64 to 0.50	0.814
State other	74.72	1.92	0.35	−0.53 to 1.24	0.435
State grammar	73.92	2.58	−0.45	−1.01 to 0.11	0.112
Independent school	73.56	2.46	−0.82	−1.38 to 0.25	<0.001
Ethnicity
White (reference)	74.41	2.33
Black	74.40	2.34	−0.012	−2.12 to 2.09	0.991
Asian	72.97	2.51	−1.44	−2.03 to 0.861	<0.001
Chinese	71.80	3.00	−2.61	−4.70 to 1.31	<0.001
Other	73.92	2.50	−0.50	−1.38 to 0.387	0.271
Sex
Female (reference)	74.33	2.31
Male	73.76	2.66	−0.57	−0.99 to 0.15	<0.01
Continuous variables
School performance*			0.005	−0.16 to 0.01	0.404
Socioeconomic status (Index of Multiple Deprivation; percentile†)			0.004	−0.003 to 0.011	0.280
UCAS Tariff Points			0.01	0.01 to 0.02	<0.001
Polar 3‡			0.06	−0.05 to 0.27	0.185
Model parameters (for UCAS Tariff Points)
B0	69.38
R	0.18
R²	0.03

*School performance-based on the percentage of students achieving 3 A-levels or equivalent.
†Defined by percentiles of Index of Multiple Deprivation (1=Most deprived to =100 Least deprived).
‡ Neighbourhood higher education participation (1=Lowest Participation to 5=Highest Participation).