Table 4

Linear regression between contextual variables and fourth year performance divided by sex

MalesFemales
VariableSDB95% CISigSDB95% CISig
School type
 State comprehensive (ref)74.072.3174.372.51
 Sixth form college73.272.82−1.02−2.12 to 0.080.06974.742.170.31−0.35 to 0.970.357
 State other74.541.410.26−1.79 to 2.300.80674.772.060.34−0.61 to 1.300.481
 State grammar73.913.04−0.38−1.44 to 0.690.48573.932.38−0.50−1.14 to 0.140.127
 Independent school73.762.66−1.36−2.33 to 0.380.00773.982.31−0.44−1.13 to 0.250.206
Ethnicity
 White (ref)74.122.4374.562.27
 Black73.893.14−0.23−3.84 to 3.370.89874.741.890.18−2.39 to 2.750.890
 Asian72.013.03−2.11−3.13 to 1.10<0.00173.602.37−0.95−1.66 to 0.24<0.01
 Chinese72.502.96−1.62−3.73 to 0.4850.13071.203.13−3.35−5.05 to 1.66<0.001
 Other74.482.660.36−1.48 to 2.180.70073.712.35−0.85−1.83 to 0.1320.090
Continuous variables
 School performance*0.03−0.04 to 0.090.3810.001−0.03 to 0.30.961
 Socioecomomic status (Index of Multiple Deprivation; percentile†)0.002−0.01 to 0.020.8040.01−0.003 to 0.010.173
 Polar 3‡0.15−0.14 to 0.450.3090.07−0.12 to 0.250.491
 UCAS Tariff Points0.020.005 to 0.03<0.0010.010.003 to 0.02<0.01
  • *School performance-based on the percentage of students achieving 3 A-levels or equivalent.

  • †Defined by percentiles of Index of Multiple Deprivation (1=Most deprived to =100 Least deprived).

  • ‡Neighbourhood higher education participation (1=Lowest Participation to 5=Highest Participation).