NotesFAQContact Us
Collection
Advanced
Search Tips
Back to results
Peer reviewed Peer reviewed
Direct linkDirect link
ERIC Number: EJ1359500
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2022-Sep
Pages: 20
Abstractor: As Provided
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: ISSN-1492-6156
EISSN: EISSN-1942-4051
The Emerging Interplay between Subjective and Objective Notions of Probability in Young Children
Kazak, Sibel; Leavy, Aisling
Canadian Journal of Science, Mathematics and Technology Education, v22 n3 p538-557 Sep 2022
To promote the development of young children's probabilistic intuitions through experience, we focus on the dual nature of probability related to both belief (subjective notion) and frequency (objective notion). This paper reports on the responses of 7-8-year-olds on two tasks used to bridge subjective and objective notions of probability. We explore how these two conceptions interact in children's estimations of the likelihood of outcomes from chance events as new information is obtained from data collected through physical experiments and computer simulations. Our findings suggest that even though children have not yet reached the desired level of quantitative reasoning, several used the data in a reasonable way to update their subjective probabilities based on their personal beliefs. These findings highlight the nascent potential of children to reason about probability when presented with a sequence of activities. These activities are used to support them to state their subjective probability estimations, using a contextually rich continuum, while at the same time recalibrate their estimations to more accurately reflect the theoretical probability.
Springer. Available from: Springer Nature. One New York Plaza, Suite 4600, New York, NY 10004. Tel: 800-777-4643; Tel: 212-460-1500; Fax: 212-460-1700; e-mail: customerservice@springernature.com; Web site: https://bibliotheek.ehb.be:2123/
Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research
Education Level: Elementary Education
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A