ERIC Number: EJ1144002
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2017-May
Pages: 11
Abstractor: As Provided
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: ISSN-0256-0100
EISSN: N/A
Predicting Secondary School Dropout among South African Adolescents: A Survival Analysis Approach
South African Journal of Education, v37 n2 Article 1353 May 2017
Education is one of the strongest predictors of health worldwide. In South Africa, school dropout is a crisis where by Grade 12, only 52% of the age appropriate population remain enrolled. Survival analysis was used to identify the risk of dropping out of secondary school for male and female adolescents and examine the influence of substance use and leisure experience predictors while controlling for demographic and known predictors using secondary, longitudinal data. Results indicated being male, not living with one's mother, smoking cigarettes in the past month, and lower levels of leisure-related intrinsic motivation significantly predicted dropout. Results support comprehensive prevention programmes that target risk behaviour and leisure.
Descriptors: Foreign Countries, Predictor Variables, Predictive Measurement, Secondary School Students, Dropout Rate, Dropout Characteristics, Substance Abuse, Leisure Time, Longitudinal Studies, Dropout Research, Dropout Prevention, Grade 8, Grade 9, Grade 10, Grade 11, Achievement Need, Self Determination, Motivation, Regression (Statistics), Statistical Analysis
Education Association of South Africa. University of Pretoria, Centre for the Study of Resilience, Level 3, Groenkloof Student Centre, Department of Educational Psychology, Faculty of Education, George Storrar Road and Lleyds Street, Pretoria 0001, South Africa. Tel: +27-12-420-5798; Fax: +27-12-420-5511; Web site: http://www.sajournalofeducation.co.za/index.php/saje/index
Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research
Education Level: Secondary Education; Grade 8; Junior High Schools; Middle Schools; Elementary Education; Grade 9; High Schools; Grade 1; Primary Education; Early Childhood Education; Grade 10; Grade 11
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: National Institute on Drug Abuse (DHHS/PHS)
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers - Location: South Africa (Cape Town)
Grant or Contract Numbers: R01DA017491; T32DA0176