On the Psychology of Prediction.

Kahneman, Daniel; Tversky, Amos

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Peer reviewed

ERIC Number: EJ082196

Record Type: CIJE

Publication Date: 1973

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On the Psychology of Prediction

Kahneman, Daniel; Tversky, Amos

Psychological Review, 80, 4, 237-51, Jul 73

In this paper, we explore the rules that determine intuitive predictions and judgments of confidence and contrast these rules to the normative principles of statistical prediction. (Author)

Descriptors: Correlation, Evaluation, Personality Assessment, Prediction, Predictive Validity, Predictor Variables, Probability, Psychological Studies, Research Methodology, Tables (Data)

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