Virginia governor Glenn Youngkin and his administration want to raise the bar for students to pass the state's standardized tests "from the lowest in the nation to the highest in the nation" by next spring. His goal is to close the "honesty gap" between the 79 percent of Virginia students who pass the state's tests and the 39 percent who pass a rigorous national test. But data from 32 states that raised expectations on their tests over the past decade suggest that this change is unlikely to make much difference on its own. An analysis of National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) data indicates that the 32 states that introduced new tests with much higher expectations for students did not see much change, either positive or negative, in student achievement in math and reading. In light of this finding, it may make more sense for Virginia state policymakers to make changes to passing scores in concert with the broader reforms to standards, assessment, and accountability that the Youngkin administration is planning for the coming years, rather than rushing to raise expectations on this spring's tests.