ERIC Number: ED593221
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 2018-Jul
Pages: 7
Abstractor: As Provided
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: N/A
EISSN: N/A
Predicting Student Enrollment Based on Student and College Characteristics
Slim, Ahmad; Hush, Don; Ojah, Tushar; Babbitt, Terry
International Educational Data Mining Society, Paper presented at the International Conference on Educational Data Mining (EDM) (11th, Raleigh, NC, Jul 16-20, 2018)
Colleges are increasingly interested in identifying the factors that maximize their enrollment. These factors allow enrollment management administrators to identify the applicants who have higher tendency to enroll at their institutions and accordingly to better allocate their money rewards (i.e., scholarship and financial aid). In this paper we identify factors that affect the likelihood of enrolling. We use machine learning methods to statistically analyze the enrollment predictability of such factors. In particular, we use logistic regression (LR), support vector machines (SVMs) and semi-supervised probability methods. The LR and the SVMs methods predict the enrollment of applicants at an individual level whereas the semi-supervised probability method does that at a cohort level. We validate our methods using real data for applicants admitted to the university of New Mexico (UNM). The results show that a small set of factors related to student and college characteristics are highly correlated to the applicant decision of enrollment. This outcome is supported by the relatively high prediction accuracy of the proposed methods. [For the full proceedings, see ED593090.]
Descriptors: Enrollment Trends, College Students, Student Characteristics, Institutional Characteristics, Enrollment Management, Predictor Variables, Probability, Gender Differences, Ethnicity, Racial Differences, Scores, Grade Point Average, Place of Residence, Student Financial Aid, Federal Aid, Time, First Generation College Students, Family Income, College Entrance Examinations
International Educational Data Mining Society. e-mail: admin@educationaldatamining.org; Web site: http://www.educationaldatamining.org
Publication Type: Speeches/Meeting Papers; Reports - Research
Education Level: Higher Education; Postsecondary Education
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers - Location: New Mexico
Identifiers - Assessments and Surveys: ACT Assessment; SAT (College Admission Test)
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A