NotesFAQContact Us
Collection
Advanced
Search Tips
Back to results
ERIC Number: ED283037
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 1986
Pages: 248
Abstractor: N/A
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: N/A
EISSN: N/A
Employment Projections in the Primary Metals Industry.
Kelley, S. C.; And Others
This document contains five working papers featuring employment projections for five segments of industry in Ohio. The purpose of the studies described in the papers is to evaluate projections generated by the quantitative models used in the projections process and to elicit insights and qualitative information from industry practitioners that are not otherwise available to analysts. The methodology for these projections involves a projection of Ohio's share of national industry employment for each industrial sector. This share projection is then fitted to the Bureau of Labor Statistics' projection for each industry to estimate Ohio's employment in the sector in the target year. These sectoral employment projections are then fitted to industry-specific staffing patterns derived from periodic surveys of Ohio business establishments adjusted by a set of change factors to anticipate the effects of technical change on the occupational mix. These final estimates of future occupational requirements are then adjusted by a set of occupation-specific replacement rates to estimate total requirements. The more qualitative analysis represented by the working papers reflects a concern with the validity of long-term projection models in periods and in areas affected by extreme structural change and/or severe economic fluctuations. The employment projections in these five papers are for the primary metals industry; fabricated metal products; machinery industry (except electrical); electrical and electronic machinery, equipment, and supplies; and transportation equipment. The package also includes a report on a test of the Occupational Area-specific Staffing Information System (OASIS). (KC)
Publication Type: Reports - Research; Numerical/Quantitative Data; Collected Works - General
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: Ohio State Dept. of Education, Columbus. Div. of Vocational and Career Education.
Authoring Institution: Ohio State Univ., Columbus. Center for Human Resource Research.
Identifiers - Location: Ohio
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A