ERIC Number: EJ1460463
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2025
Pages: 15
Abstractor: As Provided
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: ISSN-1082-3301
EISSN: EISSN-1573-1707
Available Date: 2023-11-07
Prediction of Preschool Teacher Demand under China's Three-Child Policy: A Case Study of Shanghai
Yifang Wang1; Huijuan Di2; Qingru Duan3
Early Childhood Education Journal, v53 n2 p447-461 2025
China's recent implementation of the three-child policy is expected to have profound implications for population dynamics, leading to potential changes in preschool enrollment and subsequent demand for preschool teachers. This study addresses this issue by utilizing population forecasting software (PADIS-INT) to project population growth trends and estimate the corresponding demand for different categories of preschool teachers in Shanghai from 2023 to 2050. The analysis is based on data derived from Shanghai's seventh census, serving as the foundation for the study. The findings reveal a temporal pattern in the population aged 0-6 years and the number of children enrolled in preschool services, characterized by an initial increase followed by a subsequent decline from 2023 to 2050, ultimately falling below that of 2021. Additionally, the study forecasts a decrease in demand for full-time teachers, healthcare workers, health education teachers, and principals compared to the demand observed in 2021. Conversely, the demand for nursery teachers is projected to increase during the same period. These findings hold valuable implications for policymakers, offering crucial insights for the formulation of effective preschool teacher development policies and optimization of resource allocation in Shanghai between 2023 and 2050.
Descriptors: Foreign Countries, Preschool Teachers, Teacher Shortage, Demand Occupations, Federal Regulation, Population Growth, Computer Uses in Education, Enrollment Trends, Predictor Variables, Educational Policy, Policy Formation, Causal Models, Resource Allocation
Springer. Available from: Springer Nature. One New York Plaza, Suite 4600, New York, NY 10004. Tel: 800-777-4643; Tel: 212-460-1500; Fax: 212-460-1700; e-mail: customerservice@springernature.com; Web site: https://bibliotheek.ehb.be:2123/
Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research
Education Level: Early Childhood Education; Preschool Education
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers - Location: China (Shanghai)
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A
Author Affiliations: 1Shanghai Normal University, Shanghai Institute of Early Childhood Education, Shanghai, China; 2Hebei Normal University, Department of Preschool Education, Shijiazhuang, China; 3Henan Normal University, Faculty of Education, Xinxiang, China