This paper examines the factors that are theorized to be determinants of school quality in the 67 counties of Florida from 2000 to 2011. The model constructed for this purpose is comprised of a mix of independent variables that include county educational attainment (number of high school graduates and State University System enrollees) and…

This monograph provides educational researchers, policymakers, and practitioners with an overview of existing knowledge regarding factors that influence success among racial and ethnic minority students in the science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM) circuit. To accomplish this task, the authors reviewed more than four hundred…

The higher education accountability requirements of today cry for responsive models that describe the attitudes, perceptions and characteristics of the populations they serve. Trend Surface Analysis is such a model. It is simple to apply, analytical in nature, and results in a graphic display in the form of a map. To the extent that the…

This paper looks at demographic and financial trends that can have an effect on the health care sector, the government reliance on projections of budget expenditures and the current budget deficit, and trends in health care expenditures and effects on the future of Social Security and Medicare. (MLW)

This document contains the third annual interim report of the Illinois Elder Abuse Demonstration Program. It discusses the overall intent of the demonstration program, trends and changes in the third year of the demonstration program compared with the results from the first two years of the program, and achievements and recommendations for a…

An updated model of the effect of birth rate on demand for higher education predicts that if current patterns hold, the total demand for higher education by U.S. residents ages 18-24 will increase by 30% over the next decade. The projection assumes a continuation of past funding availability and continued influence of cohort size and international…

As part a 3-year study to identify emerging issues and trends in technology for special education, this paper proposes a conceptual framework specifying critical assumptions and predictions. Specifically addressed are assumptions in the areas of future home and family programs. The United States is seen by authors quoted in this review of the…

Intended for use by individuals or groups in initiating strategic thinking and planning, this document provides national data on 21 dimensions of the environmental scanning process grouped into nine categories and presents a model of strategic planning. Following a brief introduction describing the importance of environmental factors in planning,…

A data-collection model is presented for the gathering of timely information on population demographic characteristics, as well as economic, educational, environmental, and social trends. First, the paper discusses the importance of anticipating internal and external changes and establishing priorities for resource allocation in the design of a…

Because the enrollment question is central to the resolution of a number of issues facing higher education, institutions as well as jurisdictional bodies have become increasingly concerned with the determination of future student demand. However, the changing characteristics of our population indicate the need for a new and somewhat more complex…

Identifies components necessary for a comprehensive assessment of the educational needs of a community college's service area. Recommends a survey of residents' educational interests, a function analysis of all service area colleges, identification of demographic, economic, and educational characteristics of the region, and improvement of program…

One of a special series on population change and development, this paper focuses primarily on the programs and policies responsible for mortality or fertility change, rather than on the growth impact of a mortality or fertility change per se. The first portion of the document examines three models for assessing the population growth implications…

This report is the result of an experimental effort by the Population Studies Program at the University of Louisville. The program investigated the feasibility of estimating the percentage of Kentucky residents in poverty at the county level based on a variety of income, employment, demographic, and public assistance data available annually for…

This paper examines the changing demographics of American society and the impact of these changes on higher education. Discussions include a historical background of early American demography, the building and expansion of the population base, and census changes through various generations of the baby boom years and beyond. Next, the report…

This report discusses forces that are shaping alternative approaches to the delivery of postsecondary education, particularly distance education and open learning. One of these forces is the ever-changing composition of the student body, whose demands are increasing and whose needs are becoming more disparate because of a more and more…