This report provides evidence concerning the projected demand for substance abuse treatment services for older Americans over the next 20 to 30 years and suggests approaches for refining these projections. A work group of Federal agency representatives and university researchers was established by the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services…

Future college administrators will be responsible for three things: adaptive change, financial controls and strength, and quality of service. Each involves management of change. Increasingly, leaders will be drawn from industry, the professions, government, editing and publishing, and nonacademic areas of higher education. Superior academic…

This handbook for institutional researchers focuses on describing methods and techniques for conducting and merging external and internal analyses in order to produce an expanded vision of alternative future environments. Such vision is needed for the formulation of strategic long-range plans. Section 1 begins with a discussion of how an internal…

Realizing the educational potential of computer technology largely depends on developing appropriate policies related to the technology. A Policy Delphi method was used to identify changes in education that are both probable and possible on account of the introduction of computers, and to explore potential patterns for arriving at a desired…

The way that higher education planners can take into account changes in the post-industrial society is discussed. The scenario method is proposed as a method of integrating futures information. The planner can be provided with several probable futures, each of which can be incorporated in a scenario. An effective scenario provides the planner…

Summarizes the University of Wisconsin System's systemwide multi-year enrollment management program authorizing enrollment targets in three phases covering the periods 1987-90, 1991-94, and 1995-2000. Reviews what other states are doing in statewide enrollment management, and outlines the demand and supply variables taken into consideration for…

A step-by-step approach is provided for developing an environmental scanning system for colleges and universities to assist them in planning for the future. The objectives of such a system are to detect social, scientific, economic, technical, and political interactions important to the organization; define potential threats and opportunities from…

This essay, set in the future, reflects on the national accomplishments in social studies of the past 20 years. Among the educational highlights noted include: (1) the implementation of national standards assessments with results showing that curriculum reform worked; (2) the successful change of social studies courses to an issues-focused…

State policies toward higher education in the twenty-first century are likely to continue in the patterns already established, though conflicts may intensify. State officials will need to be more sensitive to how policies affect institutions. Institutional representatives must recognize the legitimacy and priority of state, societal, and system…

Recent international trends that may affect postsecondary education in the United States in the twenty-first century include governmental change and dislocation, rapid enrollment expansion, and processes of geographic integration. Implications for colleges and universities include greater student mobility, more distance learning, and opportunities…