The relationship between community college transfer students' experiences at an urban, doctoral-granting commuter university and their enrollment intentions was studied using Bean and Metzner's conceptual model of attrition for nontraditional students. Of 300 community college transfer students at a state-supported urban university who were contacted, 100 completed surveys. The students all aspired to at least a bachelors degree, half were older than 23 years old, and 60% were enrolled part-time. The model proposes that dropout decisions are based on six factors: academics, background, intent to leave, psychological, academic success, and environmental. Path coefficients were estimated by least squares regression procedures. The findings supported proposed paths between: background and academic variables, background and environmental variables, academic variables and academic outcomes, environmental variables and academic outcomes, and academic outcomes and intent. The data provided no evidence linking environmental variables to psychological variables. Implications of the results are addressed. (SW)