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Olive, David Monllao; Huynh, Du Q.; Reynolds, Mark; Dougiamas, Martin; Wiese, Damyon – IEEE Transactions on Learning Technologies, 2019
A significant amount of research effort has been put into finding variables that can identify students at risk based on activity records available in learning management systems (LMS). These variables often depend on the context, for example, the course structure, how the activities are assessed or whether the course is entirely online or a…
Descriptors: Prediction, Identification, At Risk Students, Online Courses
Lamm, Kevan W.; Sheikh, Emana; Carter, Hannah S.; Lamm, Alexa J. – Journal of Leadership Education, 2017
Finding strategies to increase the motivation of students, their connection with the material, and retention of the content, has been very important within leadership education. Previous research studies have shown that personality traits can predict desired outcomes, including goal orientation or motivational disposition. However, there have not…
Descriptors: Undergraduate Students, Goal Orientation, Predictive Validity, Prediction
Gellert, Anna S.; Elbro, Carsten – Journal of Learning Disabilities, 2017
A few studies have indicated that dynamic measures of phonological awareness may contribute uniquely to the prediction of early reading development. However, standard control measures have been few and limited by floor effects, thus limiting their predictive value. The purpose of the present study was to examine the predictive value of a dynamic…
Descriptors: Reading Difficulties, Early Reading, Phonological Awareness, Longitudinal Studies
Bloemer, William; Day, Scott; Swan, Karen – Online Learning, 2017
In this paper we argue that simply identifying gateway courses in which a large number of students fail or withdraw and focusing attention on them may not always be the best use of limited resources. No matter what we do, there will always be courses with high D/F/W rates simply because of the nature of their content and the preparation of the…
Descriptors: Courses, Success, Academic Persistence, School Holding Power
Simmons, Aneika L.; Payne, Stephanie C.; Pariyothorn, Matthew M. – Creativity Research Journal, 2014
According to the "Internal-External Efficacy model", self-efficacy is an insufficient explanation for self-regulated behavior because it ignores the influence of external resources. Applying this theory of motivation to the prediction of creative performance, the extent to which means efficacy or the belief in the utility of external…
Descriptors: Creativity, Self Efficacy, Predictive Validity, Role
Truckenmiller, Adrea J.; Petscher, Yaacov; Gaughan, Linda; Dwyer, Ted – Regional Educational Laboratory Southeast, 2016
District and state education leaders frequently use screening assessments to identify students who are at risk of performing poorly on end-of-year achievement tests. This study examines the use of a universal screening assessment of reading skills for early identification of students at risk of low achievement on nationally normed tests of reading…
Descriptors: Prediction, Predictive Validity, Predictor Variables, Mathematics Achievement
Catts, Hugh W.; Herrera, Sarah; Nielsen, Diane Corcoran; Bridges, Mindy Sittner – Reading and Writing: An Interdisciplinary Journal, 2015
The simple view of reading proposes that reading comprehension is the product of word reading and language comprehension. In this study, we used the simple view framework to examine the early prediction of reading comprehension abilities. Using multiple measures for all constructs, we assessed word reading precursors (i.e., letter knowledge,…
Descriptors: Prediction, Reading Comprehension, Sight Method, Language Acquisition
Lichtman, Allan – Social Education, 2012
Conventional pundits, pollsters, and forecasters are focused on whether the economy will improve sufficiently in 2012 for President Barack Obama to gain reelection. The Keys to the White House, a prediction system that the author developed in collaboration with Vladimir Keilis-Borok, founder of the International Institute of Earthquake Prediction…
Descriptors: Political Campaigns, Presidents, Elections, Economic Development
Herrera, Cheryl; Blair, Jennifer – Research in Higher Education Journal, 2015
As the U.S. population ages and policy changes emerge, such as the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act of 2010, the U.S. will experience a significant shortage of Registered Nurses (RNs). Many colleges and universities are attempting to increase the size of nursing cohorts to respond to this imminent shortage. Notwithstanding a 2.6%…
Descriptors: Prediction, Success, Nursing Education, Nursing Students
Guan, Connie Qun; Perfetti, Charles A.; Meng, Wanjin – Reading and Writing: An Interdisciplinary Journal, 2015
To examine the importance of manual character writing to reading in a new writing system, 48 adult Chinese-as-a-foreign-language students were taught characters in either a character writing-to-read or an alphabet typing-to-read condition, and engaged in corresponding handwriting or typing training for five consecutive days. Prior knowledge of…
Descriptors: Chinese, Second Language Learning, Educational Quality, Prediction
Olsen, Jennifer K.; Aleven, Vincent; Rummel, Nikol – Grantee Submission, 2015
Student models for adaptive systems may not model collaborative learning optimally. Past research has either focused on modeling individual learning or for collaboration, has focused on group dynamics or group processes without predicting learning. In the current paper, we adjust the Additive Factors Model (AFM), a standard logistic regression…
Descriptors: Educational Environment, Predictive Measurement, Predictor Variables, Cooperative Learning
Olsen, Jennifer K.; Aleven, Vincent; Rummel, Nikol – International Educational Data Mining Society, 2015
Student models for adaptive systems may not model collaborative learning optimally. Past research has either focused on modeling individual learning or for collaboration, has focused on group dynamics or group processes without predicting learning. In the current paper, we adjust the Additive Factors Model (AFM), a standard logistic regression…
Descriptors: Educational Environment, Predictive Measurement, Predictor Variables, Cooperative Learning
Reeves, Richard V.; Howard, Kimberly – Center on Children and Families at Brookings, 2013
From an intergenerational perspective, the U.S. income distribution is sticky at both ends. Affluence and poverty are both partially inherited. Policy and research has focused on upward mobility, especially from the bottom. But relative intergenerational upward mobility is only possible with equivalent rates of downward mobility, where much less…
Descriptors: Advantaged, Cognitive Ability, Social Mobility, At Risk Persons
Gorvine, Benjamin J.; Smith, H. David – Teaching of Psychology, 2015
This study describes the use of a collaborative learning approach in a psychological statistics course and examines the factors that predict which students benefit most from such an approach in terms of learning outcomes. In a course format with a substantial group work component, 166 students were surveyed on their preference for individual…
Descriptors: Prediction, Predictive Measurement, Success, Psychology
Paulhus, Delroy L.; Dubois, Patrick J. – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2014
The overclaiming technique is a novel assessment procedure that uses signal detection analysis to generate indices of knowledge accuracy (OC-accuracy) and self-enhancement (OC-bias). The technique has previously shown robustness over varied knowledge domains as well as low reactivity across administration contexts. Here we compared the OC-accuracy…
Descriptors: Educational Assessment, Knowledge Level, Accuracy, Cognitive Ability