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Matthews, William J. – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2013
This article concerns the effect of context on people's judgments about sequences of chance outcomes. In Experiment 1, participants judged whether sequences were produced by random, mechanical processes (such as a roulette wheel) or skilled human action (such as basketball shots). Sequences with lower alternation rates were judged more likely to…
Descriptors: Experimental Psychology, Probability, Prediction, Context Effect
Rutjens, Bastiaan T.; van Harreveld, Frenk; van der Pligt, Joop; Kreemers, Loes M.; Noordewier, Marret K. – Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 2013
Stage theories are prominent and controversial in science. One possible reason for their appeal is that they provide order and predictability. Participants in Experiment 1 rated stage theories as more orderly and predictable (but less credible) than continuum theories. In Experiments 2-5, we showed that order threats increase the appeal of stage…
Descriptors: Developmental Stages, Theories, Role, Prediction