Author summarizes assumptions underlying research into human processing of probabilistic information used in decision-making. He outlines a model for further studies, noting that why subjects may reject it is as important as whether they do so. Theoretical prospects are discussed also. (Author/PD)

Presents a concentric research design model based on need for research which transcends individuals' historic or experiential bias concerning choice of study design, tools, and data reduction strategies. Describes the following "rings": theory/knowledge orientation; theory versus applied research; quantitative versus qualitative research…

Modern research methodologies can help educators understand possible futures of society and can aid them in planning and decision making that provides for effective use of resources. Statistical models, computer forecasting, human logic, and research techniques from disciplines such as history, anthropology, and political science can help in…

This paper explores the fault-tree analysis approach to isolating failure modes within a system. Fault tree investigates potentially undesirable events and then looks for failures in sequence that would lead to their occurring. Relationships among these events are symbolized by AND or OR logic gates, AND used when single events must coexist to…

AFTHER, a computer simulation game for dealing with the complexities of higher education in a changing electronic world, is described. It is a tool for decision research and decision assistance. AFTHER enables the users to study higher education governance and its decision-making patterns in general, or to readily convert the simulation to an…

Eleven lectures on simulation and gaming delivered at a symposium in Western Canada are presented. Three articles concern ways of gaining knowledge about the effectiveness of the simulation method in teaching. Several articles describe the use of simulation in teaching specific areas: home economics education, agricultural engineering, and…

This monograph, based on a conceptual model called an information support circle, describes a structured management process that can be used by higher education institutions to add value to institutional data and information. The model offers a sequence of (1) thinking about the management and use of data, (2) considering problems in providing…

The Southern Rural Development Center in cooperation with the University of Kentucky sponsored a workshop which brought together extension and research personnel interested in rural economic development concerns (i.e., inadequate water supplies, sewer systems, and schools). The proceedings include "Community Growth Management: The Land-Grant…

This final report of a project conducted to design, develop, and test a comprehensive management plan for vocational education in Missouri is divided into three sections. Section I describes the rationale and components of a model based on the general systems approach to planning. An analysis of the planning process introduces several planning…