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Jenny, Mirjam A.; Rieskamp, Jörg; Nilsson, Håkan – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2014
Judging whether multiple events will co-occur is an important aspect of everyday decision making. The underlying probabilities of occurrence are usually unknown and have to be inferred from experience. Using a rigorous, quantitative model comparison, we investigate how people judge the conjunctive probabilities of multiple events to co-occur. In 2…
Descriptors: Experimental Psychology, Decision Making, Probability, Models