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ERIC Number: EJ1349059
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2022
Pages: 12
Abstractor: As Provided
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: ISSN-0888-4080
EISSN: EISSN-1099-0720
Available Date: N/A
The Effects of Experience and Uncertainty on Hypothesis Generation and Testing in Threat Assessment
Leins, Drew A.; Zimmerman, Laura A.; Vowels, Christopher L.
Applied Cognitive Psychology, v36 n5 p1083-1094 Sep-Oct 2022
This study explored the decision-making processes of soldiers as they evaluated scenarios containing information offering various levels of certainty. Soldiers with different levels of experience read scenarios that presented potential threats and then identified the priority threat, their confidence in this identification, and the cues they used to identify priority threats. Soldiers then searched for additional scenario-relevant information and modified their reports if their assessments changed. Compared with inexperienced soldiers, experienced soldiers reported a greater number of priority threats and informative cues and were more likely to search additional topics that matched details in their initial assessments. High certainty scenarios yielded more identified threats, more cues, and higher confidence in initial reports. Soldiers' initial assessments rarely changed after additional information searches, but when they did, they were associated with low initial confidence.
Wiley. Available from: John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 111 River Street, Hoboken, NJ 07030. Tel: 800-835-6770; e-mail: cs-journals@wiley.com; Web site: https://bibliotheek.ehb.be:2191/en-us
Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research
Education Level: N/A
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: US Army Research Institute for the Behavioral and Social Sciences (ARI)
Authoring Institution: N/A
Grant or Contract Numbers: W5J9CQ11D0003
Author Affiliations: N/A