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Edgar C. Merkle; Oludare Ariyo; Sonja D. Winter; Mauricio Garnier-Villarreal – Grantee Submission, 2023
We review common situations in Bayesian latent variable models where the prior distribution that a researcher specifies differs from the prior distribution used during estimation. These situations can arise from the positive definite requirement on correlation matrices, from sign indeterminacy of factor loadings, and from order constraints on…
Descriptors: Models, Bayesian Statistics, Correlation, Evaluation Methods
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Oscar Clivio; Avi Feller; Chris Holmes – Grantee Submission, 2024
Reweighting a distribution to minimize a distance to a target distribution is a powerful and flexible strategy for estimating a wide range of causal effects, but can be challenging in practice because optimal weights typically depend on knowledge of the underlying data generating process. In this paper, we focus on design-based weights, which do…
Descriptors: Evaluation Methods, Causal Models, Error of Measurement, Guidelines
Chenchen Ma; Jing Ouyang; Gongjun Xu – Grantee Submission, 2023
Cognitive Diagnosis Models (CDMs) are a special family of discrete latent variable models that are widely used in educational and psychological measurement. A key component of CDMs is the Q-matrix characterizing the dependence structure between the items and the latent attributes. Additionally, researchers also assume in many applications certain…
Descriptors: Psychological Evaluation, Clinical Diagnosis, Item Analysis, Algorithms
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Chenchen Ma; Jing Ouyang; Chun Wang; Gongjun Xu – Grantee Submission, 2024
Survey instruments and assessments are frequently used in many domains of social science. When the constructs that these assessments try to measure become multifaceted, multidimensional item response theory (MIRT) provides a unified framework and convenient statistical tool for item analysis, calibration, and scoring. However, the computational…
Descriptors: Algorithms, Item Response Theory, Scoring, Accuracy
Shengyu Jiang; Jiaying Xiao; Chun Wang – Grantee Submission, 2022
An online learning system has the capacity to offer customized content that caters to individual learner's need and has seen growing interest from industry and academia alike in recent years. Different from traditional computerized adaptive testing setting which has a well-calibrated item bank with new items periodically added, online learning…
Descriptors: Item Response Theory, Item Banks, Bayesian Statistics, Learning Management Systems
Ben-Michael, Eli; Feller, Avi; Rothstein, Jesse – Grantee Submission, 2021
The synthetic control method (SCM) is a popular approach for estimating the impact of a treatment on a single unit in panel data settings. The "synthetic control" is a weighted average of control units that balances the treated unit's pre-treatment outcomes and other covariates as closely as possible. A critical feature of the original…
Descriptors: Evaluation Methods, Comparative Analysis, Regression (Statistics), Computation
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Sainan Xu; Jing Lu; Jiwei Zhang; Chun Wang; Gongjun Xu – Grantee Submission, 2024
With the growing attention on large-scale educational testing and assessment, the ability to process substantial volumes of response data becomes crucial. Current estimation methods within item response theory (IRT), despite their high precision, often pose considerable computational burdens with large-scale data, leading to reduced computational…
Descriptors: Educational Assessment, Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Inference, Item Response Theory
Xu Qin; Fan Yang – Grantee Submission, 2022
Causal inference regarding a hypothesized mediation mechanism relies on the assumptions that there are no omitted pretreatment confounders (i.e., confounders preceding the treatment) of the treatment-mediator, treatment-outcome, and mediator-outcome relationships, and there are no posttreatment confounders (i.e., confounders affected by the…
Descriptors: Simulation, Correlation, Inferences, Attribution Theory
Jing Lu; Chun Wang; Jiwei Zhang; Xue Wang – Grantee Submission, 2023
Changepoints are abrupt variations in a sequence of data in statistical inference. In educational and psychological assessments, it is pivotal to properly differentiate examinees' aberrant behaviors from solution behavior to ensure test reliability and validity. In this paper, we propose a sequential Bayesian changepoint detection algorithm to…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Behavior Patterns, Computer Assisted Testing, Accuracy