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Peer reviewedRhodes, William M. – Evaluation Review, 1985
Prediction of success in a special program often guides program participant selection and treatment. If the statistical analysis used to develop such predictions is based on the special selectivity built into the program, the predictions can be misleading and the validation tests uninformative. Federal district court pretrial release data is used…
Descriptors: Cohort Analysis, Criminals, Mathematical Models, Predictive Validity
Download full textSpencer, Bruce D. – 1986
The National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) currently tests seventeen-year-old students enrolled in public and private secondary schools, but it does not test "out-of-school" seventeen-year-olds who have either graduated or dropped out. Estimating that one of five seventeen-year-olds is out of school, the interpretability of…
Descriptors: Adolescents, Cohort Analysis, Dropouts, Educational Assessment
