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Lindskog, Marcus; Winman, Anders; Juslin, Peter – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2013
The capacity of short-term memory is a key constraint when people make online judgments requiring them to rely on samples retrieved from memory (e.g., Dougherty & Hunter, 2003). In this article, the authors compare 2 accounts of how people use knowledge of statistical distributions to make point estimates: either by retrieving precomputed…
Descriptors: Experimental Psychology, Short Term Memory, Prediction, Probability