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Ash, Ivan K. – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2009
Hindsight bias has been shown to be a pervasive and potentially harmful decision-making bias. A review of 4 competing cognitive reconstruction theories of hindsight bias revealed conflicting predictions about the role and effect of expectation or surprise in retrospective judgment formation. Two experiments tested these predictions examining the…
Descriptors: Prediction, Recall (Psychology), Experiments, Decision Making