ERIC Number: EJ1247424
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2020
Pages: 20
Abstractor: As Provided
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: ISSN-2156-8235
EISSN: N/A
Predicting Student Dropout: A Machine Learning Approach
Kemper, Lorenz; Vorhoff, Gerrit; Wigger, Berthold U.
European Journal of Higher Education, v10 n1 p28-47 2020
We perform two approaches of machine learning, logistic regressions and decision trees, to predict student dropout at the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT). The models are computed on the basis of examination data, i.e. data available at all universities without the need of specific collection. Therefore, we propose a methodical approach that may be put in practice with relative ease at other institutions. We find decision trees to produce slightly better results than logistic regressions. However, both methods yield high prediction accuracies of up to 95% after three semesters. A classification with more than 83% accuracy is already possible after the first semester.
Descriptors: Foreign Countries, Predictor Variables, Potential Dropouts, School Holding Power, Classification, Regression (Statistics), Prediction, Decision Making, Data Analysis, Grades (Scholastic), Models, At Risk Students, Mathematical Formulas, Artificial Intelligence, College Students
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Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Research
Education Level: Higher Education; Postsecondary Education
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers - Location: Germany
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A