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Why High School Grades Are Better Predictors of On-Time College Graduation than Are Admissions Test Scores: The Roles of Self-Regulation and Cognitive Ability
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Galla, Brian M.; Shulman, Elizabeth P.; Plummer, Benjamin D.; Gardner, Margo; Hutt, Stephen J.; Goyer, J. Parker; D'Mello, Sidney K.; Finn, Amy S.; Duckworth, Angela L. – American Educational Research Journal, 2019
Compared with admissions test scores, why are high school grades better at predicting college graduation? We argue that success in college requires not only cognitive ability but also self-regulatory competencies that are better indexed by high school grades. In a national sample of 47,303 students who applied to college for the 2009/2010 academic…
Descriptors: Grades (Scholastic), Predictor Variables, Time to Degree, Scores
Evaluating Fairness and Generalizability in Models Predicting On-Time Graduation from College Applications
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Hutt, Stephen; Gardner, Margo; Duckworth, Angela L.; D'Mello, Sidney K. – International Educational Data Mining Society, 2019
We explore generalizability and fairness across sociodemographic groups for predicting on-time college graduation using a national dataset of 41,359 college applications. Our features include sociodemographics, institutional graduation rates, academic achievement, standardized test scores, engagement in extracurricular activities, and work…
Descriptors: Generalization, Predictive Measurement, College Applicants, Time to Degree