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Daniel Murphy; Sarah Quesen; Matthew Brunetti; Quintin Love – Educational Measurement: Issues and Practice, 2024
Categorical growth models describe examinee growth in terms of performance-level category transitions, which implies that some percentage of examinees will be misclassified. This paper introduces a new procedure for estimating the classification accuracy of categorical growth models, based on Rudner's classification accuracy index for item…
Descriptors: Classification, Growth Models, Accuracy, Performance Based Assessment
Daniel McNeish; Jeffrey R. Harring; Daniel J. Bauer – Grantee Submission, 2022
Growth mixture models (GMMs) are a popular method to identify latent classes of growth trajectories. One shortcoming of GMMs is nonconvergence, which often leads researchers to apply covariance equality constraints to simplify estimation, though this may be a dubious assumption. Alternative model specifications have been proposed to reduce…
Descriptors: Growth Models, Classification, Accuracy, Sample Size
McNeish, Daniel; Harring, Jeffrey R. – Grantee Submission, 2021
Growth mixture models (GMMs) are a popular method to uncover heterogeneity in growth trajectories. Harnessing the power of GMMs in applications is difficult given the prevalence of nonconvergence when fitting GMMs to empirical data. GMMs are rooted in the random effect tradition and nonconvergence often leads researchers to modify their intended…
Descriptors: Growth Models, Classification, Posttraumatic Stress Disorder, Sample Size
Grimm, Kevin J.; Fine, Kimberly; Stegmann, Gabriela – International Journal of Behavioral Development, 2021
Modeling within-person change over time and between-person differences in change over time is a primary goal in prevention science. When modeling change in an observed score over time with multilevel or structural equation modeling approaches, each observed score counts toward the estimation of model parameters equally. However, observed scores…
Descriptors: Error of Measurement, Weighted Scores, Accuracy, Item Response Theory
Fazlul, Ishtiaque; Koedel, Cory; Parsons, Eric; Qian, Cheng – AERA Open, 2021
We evaluate the feasibility of estimating test-score growth for schools and districts with a gap year in test data. Our research design uses a simulated gap year in testing when a true test gap did not occur, which facilitates comparisons of district- and school-level growth estimates with and without a gap year. We find that growth estimates…
Descriptors: Scores, Achievement Gains, Computation, School Districts
Ethan R. Van Norman; Emily R. Forcht – Journal of Education for Students Placed at Risk, 2024
This study evaluated the forecasting accuracy of trend estimation methods applied to time-series data from computer adaptive tests (CATs). Data were collected roughly once a month over the course of a school year. We evaluated the forecasting accuracy of two regression-based growth estimation methods (ordinary least squares and Theil-Sen). The…
Descriptors: Data Collection, Predictive Measurement, Predictive Validity, Predictor Variables
Fazlul, Ishtiaque; Koedel, Cory; Parsons, Eric; Qian, Cheng – National Center for Analysis of Longitudinal Data in Education Research (CALDER), 2021
We evaluate the feasibility of estimating test-score growth with a gap year in testing data, informing the scenario when state testing resumes after the 2020 COVID-19-induced test stoppage. Our research design is to simulate a gap year in testing using pre-COVID-19 data--when a true test gap did not occur--which facilitates comparisons of…
Descriptors: Scores, Achievement Gains, Computation, Growth Models
Forthmann, Boris; Förster, Natalie; Souvignier, Elmar – Journal of Intelligence, 2022
Monitoring the progress of student learning is an important part of teachers' data-based decision making. One such tool that can equip teachers with information about students' learning progress throughout the school year and thus facilitate monitoring and instructional decision making is learning progress assessments. In practical contexts and…
Descriptors: Learning Processes, Progress Monitoring, Robustness (Statistics), Bayesian Statistics
McNeill, Brigid; McIlraith, Autumn L.; Macrae, Toby; Gath, Megan; Gillon, Gail – Journal of Speech, Language, and Hearing Research, 2022
Purpose: The aim of this study was to describe and explain changes in severity of speech sound disorder (SSD) and token-to-token inconsistency in children with high levels of inconsistency. Method: Thirty-nine children (aged 4;6-7;11 [years;months]) with SSDs and high levels of token-to-token inconsistency were assessed every 6 months for 2 years…
Descriptors: Predictor Variables, Speech Language Pathology, Communication Disorders, Language Impairments