ERIC Number: EJ1256742
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2017-Jun
Pages: 18
Abstractor: As Provided
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: ISSN-1759-2879
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Comparative Performance of Heterogeneity Variance Estimators in Meta-Analysis: A Review of Simulation Studies
Langan, Dean; Higgins, Julian P. T.; Simmonds, Mark
Research Synthesis Methods, v8 n2 p181-198 Jun 2017
Random-effects meta-analysis methods include an estimate of between-study heterogeneity variance. We present a systematic review of simulation studies comparing the performance of different estimation methods for this parameter. We summarise the performance of methods in relation to estimation of heterogeneity and of the overall effect estimate, and of confidence intervals for the latter. Among the twelve included simulation studies, the DerSimonian and Laird method was most commonly evaluated. This estimate is negatively biased when heterogeneity is moderate to high and therefore most studies recommended alternatives. The Paule-Mandel method was recommended by three studies: it is simple to implement, is less biased than DerSimonian and Laird and performs well in meta-analyses with dichotomous and continuous outcomes. In many of the included simulation studies, results were based on data that do not represent meta-analyses observed in practice, and only small selections of methods were compared. Furthermore, potential conflicts of interest were present when authors of novel methods interpreted their results. On the basis of current evidence, we provisionally recommend the Paule-Mandel method for estimating the heterogeneity variance, and using this estimate to calculate the mean effect and its 95% confidence interval. However, further simulation studies are required to draw firm conclusions.
Descriptors: Meta Analysis, Simulation, Comparative Analysis, Intervals, Medical Research, Outcomes of Treatment, Research Reports
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Publication Type: Journal Articles; Information Analyses
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Language: English
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