Knowing with Certainty: The Appropriateness of Extreme Confidence.

Fischhoff, Baruch; And Others

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Peer reviewed

ERIC Number: EJ175040

Record Type: CIJE

Publication Date: 1977

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Knowing with Certainty: The Appropriateness of Extreme Confidence

Fischhoff, Baruch; And Others

Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 3, 4, 552-64, Nov 77

How often are people wrong when they are certain that they know the answer to a question? The studies reported here suggest that the answer is "too often". The psychological bases for unwarranted certainty are discussed in terms of the inferential processes whereby knowledge is constructed from perceptions and memories. (Editor/RK)

Descriptors: Confidence Testing, Experimental Psychology, Experiments, Illustrations, Perception, Psychological Studies, Tables (Data)

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