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| Bias | 1 |
| Experimental Psychology | 1 |
| Experiments | 1 |
| Perception | 1 |
| Psychological Studies | 1 |
| Research Methodology | 1 |
| Tables (Data) | 1 |
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| Journal of Experimental… | 1 |
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| Fischhoff, Baruch | 1 |
| Slovic, Paul | 1 |
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Peer reviewedSlovic, Paul; Fischhoff, Baruch – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 1977
Studies of the psychology of hindsight have shown that reporting the outcome of a historical event increases the perceived likelihood of that outcome. Three experiments show that similar hindsight effects occur when people evaluate the predictability of scientific results. Implications for the evaluation of scientific research by lay observers are…
Descriptors: Bias, Experimental Psychology, Experiments, Perception
