ERIC Number: ED603484
Record Type: Non-Journal
Publication Date: 2017-Apr-28
Pages: 29
Abstractor: As Provided
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: ISSN-
EISSN: N/A
Available Date: N/A
Validity Evidence for Predictions Used in College Admission: Thinking beyond Correlations
Beard, Jonathan; Jagesic, Sanja
AERA Online Paper Repository, Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Educational Research Association (San Antonio, TX, Apr 27-May 1, 2017)
Validity evidence to support the use of exam scores for admission to postsecondary institutions is generally provided in the form of correlation coefficients. The measures used to establish the correlations are scores on a particular entrance exam and most typically a student's first-year college grade point average (FYGPA). Correlations demonstrate the degree to which a linear association exists between performance on the assessment and overall performance in college. While correlations provide important information, they are also commonly misunderstood by the public. This study seeks to expand on the information provided by correlations by investigating differences in predicted probabilities of three postsecondary outcomes: (1) college performance (earning a C or better); (2) college retention; and (3) college completion.
Descriptors: College Admission, Validity, Scores, College Entrance Examinations, Grade Point Average, High School Students, Outcomes of Education, School Holding Power, Academic Persistence, Time to Degree, Correlation, College Freshmen, Predictor Variables
AERA Online Paper Repository. Available from: American Educational Research Association. 1430 K Street NW Suite 1200, Washington, DC 20005. Tel: 202-238-3200; Fax: 202-238-3250; e-mail: subscriptions@aera.net; Web site: http://www.aera.net
Publication Type: Speeches/Meeting Papers; Reports - Research
Education Level: Higher Education; Postsecondary Education; High Schools; Secondary Education
Audience: N/A
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Identifiers - Assessments and Surveys: SAT (College Admission Test)
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A
Author Affiliations: N/A