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Allen, Jeff; Mattern, Krista; Ndum, Edwin – Educational Measurement: Issues and Practice, 2019
We derived an index of high school academic rigor (HSAR) by optimizing the prediction of first-year college GPA (FYGPA) based on high school courses taken, grades, and indicators of advanced coursework. Using a large data set and nominal parameterization of high school course outcomes, the HSAR index capitalizes on differential contributions…
Descriptors: High Schools, Difficulty Level, Prediction, Grade Point Average
Mattern, Krista; Sanchez, Edgar; Ndum, Edwin – Educational Measurement: Issues and Practice, 2017
In the context of college admissions, the current study examined whether differential prediction of first-year grade point average (FYGPA) by gender could be explained by an omitted variable problem--namely, academic discipline, or the amount of effort a student puts into schoolwork and the degree to which a student sees him/herself as hardworking…
Descriptors: Females, Academic Achievement, Predictive Validity, Grade Point Average
King, David R.; Ndum, Edwin – ACT, Inc., 2017
We examined the validity of 10 psychosocial factors for predicting retention status (stay, transfer, or drop out) at the start of second year of college by fitting a mixed-effects multinomial logistic regression model. Data consisted of retention records of 9,364 students from 31 four-year institutions. Predictors included commonly used variables…
Descriptors: Psychological Patterns, Social Influences, Predictor Variables, Undergraduate Students
Allen, Jeff; Ndum, Edwin; Mattern, Krista – ACT, Inc., 2017
We derived an index of high school academic rigor by optimizing the prediction of first-year college GPA based on high school courses taken, grades, and indicators of advanced coursework. Using a large data set (n~108,000) and nominal parameterization of high school course outcomes, the high school academic rigor (HSAR) index capitalizes on…
Descriptors: Educational Quality, Difficulty Level, Academic Standards, College Freshmen
Lorah, Julie; Ndum, Edwin – ACT, Inc., 2013
Prior research has demonstrated gaps in the academic success of college student subgroups defined by race/ethnicity, income, and gender. We studied trends over time in the success of students in these subgroups in particular first-year college courses: English Composition I, College Algebra, social science courses, and Biology. The study is based…
Descriptors: Trend Analysis, Achievement Gap, College Freshmen, Racial Differences