Abstract:
Performance prediction is a leading topic in learning analytics research due to its potential to impact all tiers of education. This study proposes a novel predictive mod...Show MoreMetadata
Abstract:
Performance prediction is a leading topic in learning analytics research due to its potential to impact all tiers of education. This study proposes a novel predictive modeling method to address the research gaps in existing performance prediction research. The gaps addressed include: the lack of existing research focus on performance prediction rather than identifying key performance factors; the lack of common predictors identified for both K-12 and higher education environments; and the misplaced focus on absolute engagement levels rather than relative engagement levels. Two datasets, one from higher education and the other from a K-12 online school with 13 368 students in more than 300 courses, were applied using the predictive modeling technique. The results showed the newly suggested approach had higher overall accuracy and sensitivity rates than the traditional approach. In addition, two generalizable predictors were identified from instruction-intensive and discussion-intensive courses.
Published in: IEEE Transactions on Learning Technologies ( Volume: 12, Issue: 2, 01 April-June 2019)
Funding Agency:
National Engineering Laboratory for Educational Big Data, Central China Normal University, Wuhan, China
Jui-Long Hung received the Ed.D. degree in instructional and educational technology with a minor in information system from Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX, USA, in 2007. He is a Professor with the Department of Educational Technology, Boise State University, Boise, ID, USA, and a Researcher of the following research centers: Center for Advanced Analytics and Business Intelligence at Texas Tech University, USA, Data Mi...Show More
Jui-Long Hung received the Ed.D. degree in instructional and educational technology with a minor in information system from Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX, USA, in 2007. He is a Professor with the Department of Educational Technology, Boise State University, Boise, ID, USA, and a Researcher of the following research centers: Center for Advanced Analytics and Business Intelligence at Texas Tech University, USA, Data Mi...View more
Department of Educational Technology, Boise State University, Boise, ID, USA
Brett E. Shelton received the Ph.D. degree in curriculum and instruction with an emphasis in educational technology from the University of Washington in 2003. He is a Professor and the Department Head of Educational Technology at Boise State University, Boise, ID, USA, holding appointments with the College of Education and the College of Innovation + Design. His research interests include interactive and immersive learnin...Show More
Brett E. Shelton received the Ph.D. degree in curriculum and instruction with an emphasis in educational technology from the University of Washington in 2003. He is a Professor and the Department Head of Educational Technology at Boise State University, Boise, ID, USA, holding appointments with the College of Education and the College of Innovation + Design. His research interests include interactive and immersive learnin...View more
National Engineering Research Center for E-Learning, Central China Normal University, Wuhan, China
Juan Yang received the master's degree in communication engineering from the Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China, in 2015. She is currently working toward the Ph.D. degree at Central China Normal University, Wuhan, China. Her research interests include educational data mining, learning analytics, and learning resource recommendation.
Juan Yang received the master's degree in communication engineering from the Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China, in 2015. She is currently working toward the Ph.D. degree at Central China Normal University, Wuhan, China. Her research interests include educational data mining, learning analytics, and learning resource recommendation.View more
National Engineering Research Center for E-Learning, Central China Normal University, Wuhan, China
Xu Du received the Ph.D. degree in communication engineering from the Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China, in 2002. He is currently a Professor with the National Engineering Research Center for E-Learning, Central China Normal University, Wuhan, China. His research interests include smart environment and mobile learning, resource scheduling and recommendation, learning analytics, and educational da...Show More
Xu Du received the Ph.D. degree in communication engineering from the Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China, in 2002. He is currently a Professor with the National Engineering Research Center for E-Learning, Central China Normal University, Wuhan, China. His research interests include smart environment and mobile learning, resource scheduling and recommendation, learning analytics, and educational da...View more
Contents National Engineering Laboratory for Educational Big Data, Central China Normal University, Wuhan, China
Jui-Long Hung received the Ed.D. degree in instructional and educational technology with a minor in information system from Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX, USA, in 2007. He is a Professor with the Department of Educational Technology, Boise State University, Boise, ID, USA, and a Researcher of the following research centers: Center for Advanced Analytics and Business Intelligence at Texas Tech University, USA, Data Mining Lab at the University of Central Florida, USA, and the National Engineering Laboratory for Educational Big Data at Central China Normal University, China. His research focuses on educational data and text mining and learning analytics.
Jui-Long Hung received the Ed.D. degree in instructional and educational technology with a minor in information system from Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX, USA, in 2007. He is a Professor with the Department of Educational Technology, Boise State University, Boise, ID, USA, and a Researcher of the following research centers: Center for Advanced Analytics and Business Intelligence at Texas Tech University, USA, Data Mining Lab at the University of Central Florida, USA, and the National Engineering Laboratory for Educational Big Data at Central China Normal University, China. His research focuses on educational data and text mining and learning analytics.View more
Department of Educational Technology, Boise State University, Boise, ID, USA
Brett E. Shelton received the Ph.D. degree in curriculum and instruction with an emphasis in educational technology from the University of Washington in 2003. He is a Professor and the Department Head of Educational Technology at Boise State University, Boise, ID, USA, holding appointments with the College of Education and the College of Innovation + Design. His research interests include interactive and immersive learning environments, design-based research, and instructional simulations.
Brett E. Shelton received the Ph.D. degree in curriculum and instruction with an emphasis in educational technology from the University of Washington in 2003. He is a Professor and the Department Head of Educational Technology at Boise State University, Boise, ID, USA, holding appointments with the College of Education and the College of Innovation + Design. His research interests include interactive and immersive learning environments, design-based research, and instructional simulations.View more
National Engineering Research Center for E-Learning, Central China Normal University, Wuhan, China
Juan Yang received the master's degree in communication engineering from the Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China, in 2015. She is currently working toward the Ph.D. degree at Central China Normal University, Wuhan, China. Her research interests include educational data mining, learning analytics, and learning resource recommendation.
Juan Yang received the master's degree in communication engineering from the Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China, in 2015. She is currently working toward the Ph.D. degree at Central China Normal University, Wuhan, China. Her research interests include educational data mining, learning analytics, and learning resource recommendation.View more
National Engineering Research Center for E-Learning, Central China Normal University, Wuhan, China
Xu Du received the Ph.D. degree in communication engineering from the Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China, in 2002. He is currently a Professor with the National Engineering Research Center for E-Learning, Central China Normal University, Wuhan, China. His research interests include smart environment and mobile learning, resource scheduling and recommendation, learning analytics, and educational data mining.
Xu Du received the Ph.D. degree in communication engineering from the Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China, in 2002. He is currently a Professor with the National Engineering Research Center for E-Learning, Central China Normal University, Wuhan, China. His research interests include smart environment and mobile learning, resource scheduling and recommendation, learning analytics, and educational data mining.View more
