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Predicting Computer Science Ph.D. Completion: A Case Study | IEEE Journals & Magazine | IEEE Xplore

Predicting Computer Science Ph.D. Completion: A Case Study


Abstract:

This paper presents the results of an analysis of indicators that can be used to predict whether a student will succeed in a Computer Science Ph.D. program. The analysis...Show More

Abstract:

This paper presents the results of an analysis of indicators that can be used to predict whether a student will succeed in a Computer Science Ph.D. program. The analysis was conducted by studying the records of 75 students who have been in the Computer Science Ph.D. program of the University of Alabama in Huntsville. Seventy-seven variables were extracted from each student's record, and the variables were correlated with whether the student did or did not successfully graduate from the program. A multivariate model was developed that predicts success with a high degree of accuracy. Importantly, the model relies on variables that can be determined reasonably early in a student's Ph.D. class work, enabling its use as a selection metric. Hypotheses about the composition of the model are also presented and discussed.
Published in: IEEE Transactions on Education ( Volume: 52, Issue: 1, February 2009)
Page(s): 137 - 143
Date of Publication: 10 October 2008

ISSN Information:

Computer Science Department, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL, USA
Glenn W. Cox (S'73–M'79–SM'05) received the B.S., M.S., and Ph.D. degrees in electrical engineering from Auburn University, Auburn, AL.
He is currently an Associate Professor with the University of Alabama, Huntsville. His research areas include wired and wireless computer networking, test and evaluation, and software metrics.
Glenn W. Cox (S'73–M'79–SM'05) received the B.S., M.S., and Ph.D. degrees in electrical engineering from Auburn University, Auburn, AL.
He is currently an Associate Professor with the University of Alabama, Huntsville. His research areas include wired and wireless computer networking, test and evaluation, and software metrics.View more
Technical Interoperability and Matrix Center, U.S. Army Space and Missile Defence Command, Huntsville, AL, USA
William E. Hughes Jr. received the B.S. degree in industrial engineering from Auburn University, Auburn, AL, the M.S. degree in operations research from the Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, and the Ph.D. degree in industrial and systems engineering from the University of Alabama, Huntsville.
He is Lead Engineer for the Single Integrated Air Picture (SIAP), Technical Interoperability and Matrix Center, US Army Sp...Show More
William E. Hughes Jr. received the B.S. degree in industrial engineering from Auburn University, Auburn, AL, the M.S. degree in operations research from the Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, and the Ph.D. degree in industrial and systems engineering from the University of Alabama, Huntsville.
He is Lead Engineer for the Single Integrated Air Picture (SIAP), Technical Interoperability and Matrix Center, US Army Sp...View more
Computer Science Department, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL, USA
Letha H. Etzkorn (S'77–M'80–SM'99) received the B.S. and M.S. degrees in electrical engineering from the Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, and the Ph.D. degree in computer science from the University of Alabama, Huntsville.
She is a Professional Engineer. She is currently an Associate Professor with the University of Alabama, Huntsville. Her research interests include software engineering (primarily program compreh...Show More
Letha H. Etzkorn (S'77–M'80–SM'99) received the B.S. and M.S. degrees in electrical engineering from the Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, and the Ph.D. degree in computer science from the University of Alabama, Huntsville.
She is a Professional Engineer. She is currently an Associate Professor with the University of Alabama, Huntsville. Her research interests include software engineering (primarily program compreh...View more
Computer Science Department, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL, USA
Mary Ellen Weisskopf received the B.A. degree in mathematics from Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN. She received the M.S. and Ph.D. degrees in computer science from the University of Alabama, Huntsville, in 1980 and 1989, respectively.
She is currently an Assistant Professor with the University of Alabama, Huntsville. Her research interests include operating systems and distributed processing.
Dr. Weisskopf is a member ...Show More
Mary Ellen Weisskopf received the B.A. degree in mathematics from Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN. She received the M.S. and Ph.D. degrees in computer science from the University of Alabama, Huntsville, in 1980 and 1989, respectively.
She is currently an Assistant Professor with the University of Alabama, Huntsville. Her research interests include operating systems and distributed processing.
Dr. Weisskopf is a member ...View more

Computer Science Department, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL, USA
Glenn W. Cox (S'73–M'79–SM'05) received the B.S., M.S., and Ph.D. degrees in electrical engineering from Auburn University, Auburn, AL.
He is currently an Associate Professor with the University of Alabama, Huntsville. His research areas include wired and wireless computer networking, test and evaluation, and software metrics.
Glenn W. Cox (S'73–M'79–SM'05) received the B.S., M.S., and Ph.D. degrees in electrical engineering from Auburn University, Auburn, AL.
He is currently an Associate Professor with the University of Alabama, Huntsville. His research areas include wired and wireless computer networking, test and evaluation, and software metrics.View more
Technical Interoperability and Matrix Center, U.S. Army Space and Missile Defence Command, Huntsville, AL, USA
William E. Hughes Jr. received the B.S. degree in industrial engineering from Auburn University, Auburn, AL, the M.S. degree in operations research from the Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, and the Ph.D. degree in industrial and systems engineering from the University of Alabama, Huntsville.
He is Lead Engineer for the Single Integrated Air Picture (SIAP), Technical Interoperability and Matrix Center, US Army Space and Missile Defense Command (USASMDC), Huntsville. His current research involves discovery of metrics that will lead to the creation of regression models with the capability to estimate object oriented software development sizes and costs.
William E. Hughes Jr. received the B.S. degree in industrial engineering from Auburn University, Auburn, AL, the M.S. degree in operations research from the Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, and the Ph.D. degree in industrial and systems engineering from the University of Alabama, Huntsville.
He is Lead Engineer for the Single Integrated Air Picture (SIAP), Technical Interoperability and Matrix Center, US Army Space and Missile Defense Command (USASMDC), Huntsville. His current research involves discovery of metrics that will lead to the creation of regression models with the capability to estimate object oriented software development sizes and costs.View more
Computer Science Department, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL, USA
Letha H. Etzkorn (S'77–M'80–SM'99) received the B.S. and M.S. degrees in electrical engineering from the Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, and the Ph.D. degree in computer science from the University of Alabama, Huntsville.
She is a Professional Engineer. She is currently an Associate Professor with the University of Alabama, Huntsville. Her research interests include software engineering (primarily program comprehension and software metrics) and mobile and intelligent agents.
Dr. Etzkorn is a member of the Association of Computing Machinery.
Letha H. Etzkorn (S'77–M'80–SM'99) received the B.S. and M.S. degrees in electrical engineering from the Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, and the Ph.D. degree in computer science from the University of Alabama, Huntsville.
She is a Professional Engineer. She is currently an Associate Professor with the University of Alabama, Huntsville. Her research interests include software engineering (primarily program comprehension and software metrics) and mobile and intelligent agents.
Dr. Etzkorn is a member of the Association of Computing Machinery.View more
Computer Science Department, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL, USA
Mary Ellen Weisskopf received the B.A. degree in mathematics from Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN. She received the M.S. and Ph.D. degrees in computer science from the University of Alabama, Huntsville, in 1980 and 1989, respectively.
She is currently an Assistant Professor with the University of Alabama, Huntsville. Her research interests include operating systems and distributed processing.
Dr. Weisskopf is a member of the IEEE Computer Society and the Association for Computing Machinery.
Mary Ellen Weisskopf received the B.A. degree in mathematics from Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN. She received the M.S. and Ph.D. degrees in computer science from the University of Alabama, Huntsville, in 1980 and 1989, respectively.
She is currently an Assistant Professor with the University of Alabama, Huntsville. Her research interests include operating systems and distributed processing.
Dr. Weisskopf is a member of the IEEE Computer Society and the Association for Computing Machinery.View more
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