Hostname: page-component-5cf477f64f-2wr7h Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2025-03-28T14:55:20.618Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

A Sandwich-Type Standard Error Estimator of SEM Models with Multivariate Time Series

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 January 2025

Guangjian Zhang*
Affiliation:
University of Notre Dame
Sy-Miin Chow
Affiliation:
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
Anthony D. Ong
Affiliation:
Cornell University
*
Requests for reprints should be sent to Guangjian Zhang, Psychology Department, Haggar Hall, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA. E-mail: gzhang3@nd.edu

Abstract

Structural equation models are increasingly used as a modeling tool for multivariate time series data in the social and behavioral sciences. Standard error estimators of SEM models, originally developed for independent data, require modifications to accommodate the fact that time series data are inherently dependent. In this article, we extend a sandwich-type standard error estimator of independent data to multivariate time series data. One required element of this estimator is the asymptotic covariance matrix of concurrent and lagged correlations among manifest variables, whose closed-form expression has not been presented in the literature. The performance of the adapted sandwich-type standard error estimator is evaluated using a simulation study and further illustrated using an empirical example.

Type
Original Paper
Copyright
Copyright © 2010 The Psychometric Society

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Bartlett, M.S. (1955). An introduction to stochastic processes, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Bollen, K.A. (1989). Structural equations with latent variables, New York: Wiley.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Borckardt, J.J., Nash, M.R., Murphy, M.D., Moore, M., Shaw, D., O’Neil, P. (2008). Clinical practice as natural laboratory for psychotherapy research: A guide to case-based time-series analysis. American Psychologist, 63, 7795.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Brockwell, P.J., Davis, R.A. (1991). Time series: Theory and methods, (2nd ed.). New York: Springer.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Browne, M.W. (1982). Covariance structures. In Hawkins, D.M. (Eds.), Topics in applied multivariate analysis (pp. 72141). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Browne, M.W. (1984). Asymptotically distribution-free methods for the analysis of covariance structures. British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology, 37, 6283.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Browne, M.W., Arminger, G. (1995). Specification and estimation of mean and covariance structure models. In Arminger, G., Clogg, C.C., Sobel, M.E. (Eds.), Handbook of statistical modeling for the social and behavioral sciences (pp. 185249). New York: Plenum.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Browne, M.W., Nesselroade, J.R. (2005). Representing psychological processes with dynamic factor models: some promising uses and extensions of arma time series models. In Maydeu-Olivares, A., McArdle, J.J. (Eds.), Advances in psychometrics: A festschrift for Roderick P. McDonald (pp. 415452). Mahwah: Erlbaum.Google Scholar
Browne, M.W., Shapiro, A. (1986). The asymptotic covariance matrix of sample correlation coefficients under general conditions. Linear Algebra and Its Applications, 82, 169176.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Browne, M.W., & Zhang, G. (2005). DyFA 2.03 user guide. Retrieved from http://quantrm2.psy.ohiostate.edu/browne/software.htm.Google Scholar
Browne, M.W., Zhang, G. (2007). Developments in the factor analysis of individual time series. In Cudeck, R., MacCallum, R.C. (Eds.), Factor analysis at 100: Historical developments and future directions (pp. 265291). Mahwah: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates.Google Scholar
Chow, S.-M., Nesselroade, J., Shifren, K., McArdle, J.J. (2004). Dynamic structure of emotions among individuals with Parkinson’s disease. Structural Equation Modeling, 11, 560582.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Du Toit, S., Browne, M.W. (2007). Structural equation modeling of multivariate time series. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 42, 67101.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Ferguson, T.S. (1996). A course in large sample theory, Boca Raton: Chapman & Hall/CRC.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ferrer, E., Zhang, G. (2009). Time series models for examining psychological processes: applications and new developments. In Millsap, R.E., Madeu-Olivares, A. (Eds.), Handbook of quantitative methods in psychology (pp. 637657). NewBury Park: Sage.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hannan, E.J. (1970). Multiple time series, New York: Wiley.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Künsch, H.R. (1989). The Jackknife and the bootstrap for general stationary observations. The Annals of Statistics, 17, 12171241.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lebo, M.A., Nesselroade, J.R. (1978). Intraindividual difference dimensions of mood change during pregnancy identified in five P-technique factor analyses. Journal of Research in Personality, 12, 205224.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
MacCallum, R.C. (2003). Working with imperfect models. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 38, 113139.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
McArdle, J.J. (1982). Structural equation modeling of an individual system: Preliminary results from “A case study in episodic alcoholism” (Unpublished manuscript). Department of Psychology, University of Denver.Google Scholar
Molenaar, P.C.M. (1985). A dynamic factor analysis model for the analysis of multivariate time series. Psychometrika, 50, 181202.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Molenaar, P.C.M., Nesselroade, J.R. (1998). A comparison of pseudo-maximum likelihood and asymptotically distribution-free dynamic factor analysis parameter estimation in fitting covariance-structure models to block-Toeplitz matrices representing single subject multivariate time series. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 33, 313342.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Nesselroade, J.R., McArdle, J.J., Aggen, S.H., Meyers, J.M. (2002). Dynamic factor analysis models for representing process in multivariate time-series. In Moskowitz, D., Hershberger, S.L. (Eds.), Modeling intraindividual variability with repeated measures data: methods and applications (pp. 235265). Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum.Google Scholar
Neudecker, H. (1996). The asymptotic variance matrices of the sample correlation matrix in elliptical and normal situations and their proportionality. Linear Algebra and its Applications, 127–132.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Neudecker, H., Wesselman, A. (1990). The asymptotic variance matrix of the sample correlation matrix. Linear Algebra and its Applications, 127, 589599.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Singh, K. (1981). On the asymptotic accuracy of Efron’s bootstap. The Annals of Statistics, 9, 11871195.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Van Buuren, S. (1997). Fitting arma time series by structural equation models. Psychometrika, 62, 215236.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
West, S.G., Hepworth, J.T. (1991). Statistical issues in the study of temporal data: daily experiences. Journal of Personality, 59, 609662.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
White, H. (1980). Using least squares to approximate unknown regression functions. International Economic Review, 21, 149170.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
White, H. (1981). Consequences and detection of misspecified nonlinear regression models. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 76, 419443.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
White, H., Domowitz, I. (1984). Nonlinear regression with dependent observations. Econometrica, 52, 143161.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Yuan, K., Hayashi, K. (2006). Standard errors in covariance structure models: asymptotics versus bootstrap. British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology, 59, 397417.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Zhang, G., Browne, M.W. (2010). Bootstrap standard error estimates in dynamic factor analysis. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 45, 453482.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Zhang, G., Chow, S.M. (2010). Standard error estimation in stationary multivariate time series models using residual-based bootstrap procedures. In Newell, K., Molenaar, P. (Eds.), Pathway to individual change (pp. 169182). Washington: American Psychological Association.Google Scholar